Italy is at risk of extinction due to the low birth rate

According to the international group Tasnim News Agency, the Swiss newspaper Tagus Anseiger wrote in an article: According to United Nations calculations, the birth rate across Italy is 1.29. This number shows that statistically, there are how many births there are for each woman of reproductive age in this country. A birth rate of 2.1 is necessary for the population to remain stable in this country. In Switzerland, the birth rate is 1.39. Compared to other EU countries, Italy is at the bottom of the table with Malta and Spain. France, the Czech Republic and Romania are leaders in this field. According to this report, another threshold in Italy reached below the red line in 2022, so that less than 60 million citizens are counted in this country. Is. According to this assessment, by 2070 only 48 million Italians will remain, mostly elderly people. The birth rate has stabilized somewhat in the country recently after years of decline, but is likely to remain at a relatively low level for a long time.

This is also visible in everyday life. According to Tuttoscuola, around 2,600 primary and preschool schools have been forced to close in the country over the past 10 years. There is a shortage of workers, skilled workers and inventors in this country. In the long run, the pension system in this country may collapse under these conditions.

The right-wing government under the leadership of “Georgia Maloney”, the prime minister of this country, is also aware of this issue. Her battle cry from the 2022 campaign still resonates.

I am Georgia, I am a woman, I am a mother, she shouted. Last September, Maloney traveled to Budapest for a population summit, which right-wing nationalist Viktor Orbán holds every two years. This Hungarian official has a special focus on the birth rate with his social and family policy. Orban describes his policies in this area as pioneering.

Georgia Maloney delivered the keynote speech at the Budapest conference during the trip – and outspokenly praised Hungary as a model.

Decades ago, demographers warned with increasing alarm that the world’s population would increase exponentially. However, it is now assumed that by 2100 there will be stagnation or even decline, and the world’s population will not exceed about 10 billion people. Europe is currently one of the continents that has the biggest reduction in this field.

The Maloney government has recently made some family decisions for 2024, based on which VAT will be levied on some products. The number of children is reduced, the cost of daycare for the second child is eliminated, and mothers do not have to pay social security contributions.

Francesco Billari, professor of economics and president of the world-renowned Bocconi University in Milan, says: It’s on the right track, but not enough. Billari recalls a time when Germany, Italy and Spain were at the bottom of the European list in terms of birth rates. Then more and more family benefits were decided in Germany and this country exceeded the threshold of 1.5 again.

According to “Billari” today there are very few Italians between 20 and 40 years old, but not in the short term. The ability to change these conditions. This trend (depopulation) can be reversed only if Italy continuously accepts immigrants, educates them and integrates them into the labor market, says Billari.

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