The political future of Gaza after the end of the war

According to Fars News Agency International Group – Guest Note: Simultaneously with the ceasefire in Gaza for the release of some prisoners of war between the Palestinian resistance and the Zionist regime, an opportunity has been created for many to make scenarios about the political landscape of Gaza. Although the recent 50-day battle has provided an initial picture of the balance of power and has seen both the resistance of the unbridled violence of the Zionists and the regime engaged with the Ezzeddin Qassam battalions, there is still no sign of political negotiations.

The first political plan after the Al-Aqsa storm that was put forward by the Netanyahu government was the updated version of the deal of the century, according to which the Israeli army will first enter Gaza and destroy the political structure of Hamas, and then the Palestinians will be expelled and sent to the Sinai desert. so that they can be settled there first in tents and then in settlements with the money of the Cooperation Council countries. This plan was not implemented on the battlefield in the first place because the Israeli army failed to provide the ground for this project; Although they were able to enter Gaza City, they did not succeed in breaking the political structure of Hamas.

On the other hand, at the people’s level, the project of relocating the Palestinians failed, and on the first day of the ceasefire, a historical image was created and the people North of Gaza ignored the regime’s threats and returned to their destroyed homes. Also, at the international level, the Arab countries refused to go along with this plan, despite the pressure of the United States and the follow-ups of the US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken during his regional trip. Due to the effects of this action on the internal environment, despite the financial promises, Egypt has not yet accepted the plan to relocate the people of Gaza, and other Arab countries such as Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Iraq also seriously opposed such a plan.

Parallelly, the Americans were following another plan, which, unlike the plan of the Israelis, which originated from the deal of the century, is along the lines of the two-state plan, which is basically more popular among the Democrats. At first, the Americans proposed that a coalition of Arab forces take control of Gaza, which was opposed by the Hamas political office in Doha, and therefore the Arab countries did not support it.

The second plan of the Americans was to hand over the control of Barikeh to the self-governing organizations, which was not only rejected by Benjamin Netanyahu, but even if the Israelis agreed, it was considered a failed plan. The self-governing organization, which refused to stop security cooperation with the Zionist regime in the West Bank even at the height of the attacks against Gaza, has been deeply hated by the Palestinian public opinion. This organization, which lost to Hamas in the last Palestinian elections in 2006 and ceded Gaza, now does not have a place in the border because of its cooperation and association with the Zionist regime.

The point is that The self-governing organization is not able to control the situation even in controlling the situation in the West Bank, which has the comprehensive intelligence, security and military support of the Israeli regime in C and B sectors. The question of the Zionist circles to America is how this organization, with its aging leadership and full of competition for succession, will be able to manage the situation in the Gaza Strip, which is ready to explode.

Other plans It has also been proposed for Gaza by the regional and international parties, according to which the position of Hamas should be demoted from the dominant power in Gaza or that it should not participate in executive affairs; But so far, there has been no official or credible reaction from Hamas in this regard. This situation is a sign of the lack of field bases for the future political decision, and the question here is the situation in Gaza, which has become uninhabitable due to the brutal attacks on parts of it, the day after the cessation of hostilities, what significant amount of human and social problems will it face?

In the meantime, some countries such as France and Saudi Arabia are trying to present political initiatives through the international conference; But these conferences and political shows are also dead embryos because they cannot take a real step without considering the Palestinian resistance. Therefore, until the task of the field is determined, no decision can be made at the negotiating table.

The situation of the Gaza front will be determined when the task of the Zionists’ ambitious goals of finding the prisoners of the Al-Aqsa storm operation, destroying the tunnels Hamas, the cessation of rocket attacks, the assassination of Izzedin Qassam commanders, and the arrest of Hamas leaders should be determined. It is in such a situation that it is possible to talk more clearly about the political future of Gaza; But in the current situation, Western media propaganda about superficial plans based on the control of Gaza by the Israelis or other parties is more of an atmosphere, and according to Iqbal Lahori, there is no doubt that Moghan’s work has ended… a thousand uneaten winds in the vine.

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