The high chance of the French far-right to take power in the shadow of ever-increasing inflation
In an article citing polls, a German publication announced the high chances of "Marine Le Pen", the leader of the French far-right, to succeed in the upcoming European elections and the upcoming French presidential elections. |
Le Pen has been in the media for several days. The Frenchman turns to congratulate his “friend” Wilders and predicts the same Dutch change for France to the right. Le Pen gave a speech with obvious satisfaction and emphasized that people are suffering from Europe and its heavy management and want to use the help of these parties to stop “chaotic migration”. The long-shot French presidential candidate is probably right this time with his assured performance: Le Pen’s party can win not only the European elections in 2024, but also the French presidential elections in 2027. Wilders’ amazing success could become a model for France. For a long time it was agreed that Marine Le Pen could never become the president of France for a long time. For many years there was no more promising challenger to French politicians than the far-right, and anyone who faced Le Pen in a duel was almost certain to win. In the end, it was always said that the majority of citizens prefer candidates from traditional parties. Jean-Yves Camus, a prominent French political scientist, says: But now, for the first time, I think It is possible that Le Pen will reach the highest government post.
Camous heads the Paris Observatory on Political Extremism and observes Le Pen’s vastly improved image. According to him, it is believed that the extremists will win the next election.
During the previous duels between the current president Emmanuel Macron and Le Pen in 2017 and 2022, he said, no “reasonable person” He seriously did not believe that right-wing extremists would win the election. The important point is this: the French people would confidently vote against Le Pen regardless of who was in the second round of voting, and Le Pen scared them. But that time is over, said Camus, who has been researching right-wing populists for decades. . According to opinion polls for next May’s EU elections, Le Pen’s far-right National Alliance party has a 30-percent lead over French President Emmanuel Macron’s party. Le Pen is currently only seen as a threat by a minority; Never before has he been seen so lovable and worthy by so many people. If an election were held today, he would be far ahead of all the opposition candidates of the Socialists, Conservatives, Greens and Macron’s party in the second round of the presidential election by about 10%. There were many tests. The right-wing Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, like Le Pen, recorded successes sometimes bigger and sometimes smaller, over several decades, until this surprisingly big victory came to him.
However, the list of European countries that politically The trend toward the extreme right is on the rise again: after Hungary, Italy, Sweden, Finland, Switzerland, and now the Netherlands, France will be the most populous country with a far-right leadership if the rightists win.
Le Pen is more concerned with the weakness of traditional parties than anything else, Camus says. it benefits The French socialists are at the end of the road, the conservatives still have local successes but have become irrelevant in France, the left and the greens are also at odds. It also tempts many voters to give Le Pen a try. They yearn for a new start.
Camous believes that Le Pen can only be defeated if his plans are taken seriously. According to him, most of his political opponents reject him without knowing his plan. This is a mistake. He emphasized: “Even if Le Pen’s reputation and credibility have improved, his program is actually largely the same as those years when he was considered an unelectable candidate.” Camus is not the only one who is worried about the future of France. and other French writers have warned about this.
This article continues: low-wage workers in France have turned to the extreme right in recent years because they are disproportionately deprived of global trade and Deindustrialization as well as lack of access to public services have been affected. They feel abandoned by the left parties. Camus has a similar view and believes that the working class has suffered a lot due to the death of big industries in recent years. According to him, the traditional parties should offer proposals to the desperate and worried people.
Interestingly, “Le Pen” and “Wilders”, experienced far-right extremists, have long realized that their incitement against refugees alone will bring them to power. does not deliver Therefore, both of them declared purchasing power as the most important issue. Le Pen holds press conferences about high fuel prices, MPs from her party make a show of visiting gas stations and supermarket counters to decry poverty. Polls now show Le Pen as the person who best understands the concerns of the poor.
When it comes to Europe, Le Pen’s party once again has the right slogan for this group of voters: He claims that Europe is “insanely expensive” and thus impoverishes France. That’s a slogan that the group of extreme politicians in Florence would surely agree on.
Publisher | Tasnim News |