With the alliance between the West and Ukraine faltering, Putin is eyeing a quiet victory

According to Fars News Agency International Group, since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Western media have acknowledged that Putin is on the verge of winning the war in Ukraine and the moment that Russian President Vladimir Putin has been waiting for has arrived. ; “When he doesn’t really need to do much in the war with Ukraine and can call it a victory.”

CNN, The Atlantic Council and Economist, in reports while acknowledging Putin’s imminent victory in the Ukraine war, lack of vision Strategic among European countries, the West’s turning away from supporting Ukraine, Russia’s military power and Kiev’s exhaustion from the war have been cited as the reasons for Russia’s victory.

For the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Western speculations about the possibility of Putin winning this war have increased.

There is no doubt that the war in Ukraine has been very costly for Russia, both in terms of military costs and in terms of damage to the country’s international standing. At the same time, however, Putin has taken many steps to prepare Russia to emerge from international isolation. He has made the Russian economy surprisingly resistant to sanctions and has achieved a favorable degree of self-sufficiency in the military-industrial sector. In most cases, it has restrained the counterattack of Ukraine along with the billions of dollars of NATO training and weapons that have been spent on it. Directing them to the anti-American path can not only strengthen their positions, but also threaten American hegemony; The increase in foreign support for Russia and the cooperation of other countries is a proof of this claim.

Russia has managed to convince its allies that it does not have many interests in the war in Ukraine. This brought the cooperation of other countries with Russia, and many countries, such as Turkey and Kazakhstan, provided transportation routes and communication routes to the Kremlin.

On the other hand. , Russian sanctions and limiting the country’s oil income by setting a price ceiling of 60 dollars for Russian oil could not affect Moscow.

The Western plan to limit Russia’s oil income by setting a $60 price ceiling for the country’s oil has failed, as a parallel trade structure has emerged beyond the reach of the West. The price of Russian crude oil known as “Ural” has reached 64 dollars per barrel, which is 10% higher than its price at the beginning of 2023. It is for the victories of the Kremlin. Especially understanding that Russia is facing the West and has been able to convince the domestic opinion that Russia is currently fighting and resisting the West for survival. This has also strengthened Putin’s position in Russia.

Also, the Kremlin is not particularly worried about the possibility of internal unrest. While Wagner’s short-lived rebellion hinted at the fragility of Putin’s grip on Russia, it is hard to predict what future threats to the current leadership will be.

Conditions Unfavorable West in favor of Putin

Besides favorable domestic conditions for Putin, his biggest advantage is that the West is without ideas and strategy, an alliance that seems to have failed and Now he thinks that with the definitive defeat of Ukraine, further aid to this country is pointless.

According to CNN, Russia is no longer losing the war in Ukraine, and certainly, in return, Ukraine cannot win. This is war. The Atlantic Council also wrote that Western governments insist that they are as committed to Ukraine as ever, but polls around the world show that many doubt it.

While across European capitals , elections are happening and the rise of far-right governments with anti-immigration approaches and policies to end aid to other countries – including Ukraine – will make things harder for Kyiv. Governments that pay more attention to their country’s internal issues than the European Union issues, and therefore may oppose America and turn their backs on the policies imposed by Washington.

In the United States In the United States, Republicans in the Senate blocked the passage of a legislative package including $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, amid a deadlock with Democrats over the border and immigration policy of the United States.

Although in Trying to break the deadlock, US President Joe Biden appealed to Congress not to let “petty partisan politics” stand in the way of aid to Kiev. The president said: “History will severely judge those who have turned their backs on the cause of freedom. We cannot allow Putin to win.”

Conclusion

Currently, Ukraine’s military strategy It focuses on trying to destroy the Russian military through attrition tactics. It could succeed in undermining Russia’s offensive capabilities, but it won’t produce the kind of military victory that most Ukrainians believe their country needs, even if Russian threats are eliminated in the coming years.

For a decisive defeat of Russia on the battlefield, Ukraine needs a much larger volume of financial and military aid along with unimpeded access to the latest military technologies; A need that seems to have faded in recent days and may not be answered in the near future.

The West certainly has the resources to respond to Kiev’s needs. The total gross domestic product of all NATO member countries is more than twenty times the gross domestic product of Russia. However, Western leaders’ skepticism and lack of trust in Zelenskiy showed that the EU lacks the political will and is ultimately much weaker to challenge Putin than it appears.

end of message/