A difficult election year awaits the British Conservatives

according to the report of the international group Tasnim news agency, Tagus newspaper In an article, Shaw talked about the difficult election year ahead of the British Conservative Party and wrote: In the next 12 months, elections will be held in Britain. After more than 13 years of conservative rule, a change of government is coming in this country. According to the polls, Labor has been consistently ahead of the Conservatives led by Rishi Sunak for more than a year.

Read more: The situation for the conservatives is dire. The far-right wing of the party is particularly unhappy with Sunak, and on the right side of the party spectrum, another party, UK Reform, is now increasingly competing with the Conservatives.

Party Reforms in the UK last year were able to double its votes in the polls and increase it to ten percent. Because of Britain’s majority voting system, the party is not expected to win more than one or two seats in the next general election. But it may steal many votes from the Conservatives and tip the balance in favor of Labor in some areas.

Because Reform UK aims to “destroy” the Conservatives. Has set. Party leader Richard Tice confirmed this just a few weeks ago. He wants to ensure that the Tories “never win a majority again”. “Let’s save” attracts voters. “Reform Britain is a classic right-wing populist party,” says Nicolai von Ondarza of the Foundation for Science and Politics in Berlin. This party is to the right of the Conservatives.

This party is of course not a new player in the UK: it was founded in 2019 as the Brexit Party. Brexit activist Nigel Farage joined the party shortly after it was founded, leaving the UK Independence Party (UKIP) over a dispute over its leadership. The aim of this party was to stop Prime Minister Theresa May’s soft Brexit process.

After Boris Johnson won the election and implemented a hard Brexit, Farage left politics. His Brexit Party changed its name to Reform Britain during the coronavirus pandemic. Richard Tice, an entrepreneur, has been president of the party since March 2021.

Von Ondarza says: In the British debate on reform, almost everything revolves around Farage’s axis is turning. At every party press conference, the question is whether Farage will return to politics. He has a huge influence on public discourse.

In December, Farage took part in a reality TV show in the Australian jungle. According to a poll by the Hugo Farage Institute, in the fourth quarter of last year he was among the five most popular British politicians. Farage never sat as a member of the British House of Commons.

Now it remains to be seen whether Farage will return to the political arena or not. One of the founders of the reforms has been struggling with joining the Conservative Party for weeks. According to von Ondarza, speculation is rife that Farage could try to lead the Tories. At the beginning of October, he appeared at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester and attracted all the attention. This scenario is unlikely. Farage has already entered the history books with his Brexit campaign. Unlike Donald Trump, Farage does not want to be at the top. But as Garnett says, he enjoys the public attention.

However, the Reform Party can still be dangerous for conservatives. On the right, they compete with the Conservatives for voter approval. Observers believe that there is a possibility that this party will be divided in the right-wing votes. If the public at large participates, it could cost the Conservatives dearly. Is. Accordingly, only the number of immigrants who leave the country should immigrate to this country.

Potential voters of this party include Brexit supporters, spectrum traditional right-wing Conservative and former working-class Labor voters.

Sonak is not well received by many on the right-wing spectrum. Garnett says she is very rich According to him, the prime minister does not have real access to the citizens. According to him, the so-called cost of living crisis and inflation have been added to these cases.

Von Ondarza says: the short-term goal of the British reforms is to pressure the conservatives to adopt more right-wing policies. .

Next: Before the House of Commons election, a by-election in Wellingborough, central England, due to be held in mid-February could show How big is the influence of UK reform: an area where many people voted for Brexit. Conservatives should be worried about a really safe seat there.

Von Ondarza also said midterm elections are usually elections where governments are punished. Voter turnout is usually low. There will be no change in the composition of the parliament. In Wellingborough the British Reform Party could score its first respectable success – and plunge the Tories further into crisis.

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