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Will the peace agreement between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia be realized this year?

Despite earlier optimistic statements, the signing of the peace agreement will not take place, because the signing of the peace agreement will lead to very serious geopolitical changes in the South Caucasus region. For this reason, there is a competition between the West and Russia to mediate the signing of the peace treaty.
– International News

According to the international group Tasnim News Agency, the President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev on On February 1, while receiving “Martin Chongong”, the Secretary General of the Inter-Parliamentary Union, he also mentioned the peace negotiations with Armenia. belongs to this country and the references to this document are reflected in the Constitution of Armenia.

If changes are made in the country, peace can be achieved.

Discussion about changing the constitution has started in Armenia. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said that his country needs a completely new constitution.

He explained that this issue is very important in the new geopolitical atmosphere created in the region.

The Armenian opposition believes that “Pashinyan is preparing the ground to accept another of the numerous demands of Turkey and Azerbaijan”.

It is not yet clear that these discussions How does it end? But even before that, during the negotiations, a series of other conditions were heard from the parties. For example, the Azerbaijani authorities believe that the Zangzor Corridor (a road expected to pass through the sonic zone of Armenia) connecting the eastern part of Azerbaijan with Nakhchivan should be realized.

Also the authorities Azerbaijan emphasized that in 2020, according to the agreement between the three countries of Azerbaijan, Russia and Armenia, the Russian armed forces should participate as its guarantor.

Armenian authorities usually say that this road It can only work based on the sovereignty of this country.

Will the new terms of the peace agreement further delay?

According to the parliamentarian, as long as foreign countries intervene in Armenia, they will not ask for permission. He said that peace will be achieved.

He believes that Azerbaijan’s position is completely clear to the domestic press after the last statements of President Aliyev. First, there must be a plan accepted by Azerbaijan and Armenia in demarcating the borders in order for this process to move forward. Until there is an agreement on a concrete plan, it is too early to talk about peace.

But according to Hikmat Babaoglu, there is no need to be pessimistic. Probably by the end of 2024, Armenia will see what is happening in the region and only then will it be able to take a position on peace. Azerbaijan is always ready for peace and wants to achieve it more than anyone.

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan also emphasized that his country is loyal to the peace agreement and will not back down from this agenda. Kurds.

Russia is an obstacle

He emphasized: According to the rightful claim of the Azerbaijani side, the Armenian constitution has a territorial claim to Azerbaijan and Turkey. . A referendum will probably be held. If the Armenian people do not vote for change, there is a possibility that the peace agreement will not be signed.

However, according to Orojello, there is an invisible obstacle to the peace agreement. This is Russia’s obstacle. Russia is trying to prolong and disrupt the peace process. Not because the peace agreement will not be signed, but because this agreement will be signed with the mediation of Moscow. Moscow wants to deploy its military forces in various regions of the region under the cover of its role as a peacemaker.

This political expert noted that he does not expect a peace agreement to be signed this year under these conditions.

It should be said, in the early 1990s, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict caused a conflict between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia. Azerbaijan’s Karabagh region and 7 surrounding regions were occupied. As a result of the 44-day war in 2020, Baku took control of those 7 districts and part of Nagorno-Karabakh. According to the agreement between the Republic of Azerbaijan, Russia and Armenia, Russian troops are stationed in the Lachin Corridor and the Nagorno-Karabakh contact line. declared “local” in Karabagh. Yerevan evaluated this action as “ethnic cleansing” and “aggression”. On September 20, Karabakh separatists said they had agreed to Baku’s terms. Later, population migration from Karabakh to Armenia began.

On September 28, the self-proclaimed Republic of Karabakh announced that it would cease its activities. However, the parties have not signed a peace agreement and the negotiations were conducted separately with the mediation of Russia and the European Union.

How dependent is Armenia on Russia?-Part I
How dependent is Armenia on Russia?-Part II
Can the Kaliningrad model be formed for Zangzor?

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