Türkiye’s elections and the important challenge of the multi-million hesitant population

According to the international group Tasnim news agency, there is a short time left for the municipal elections in Turkey. . The evidence shows that the importance of the election is beyond the level of the municipalities’ authority, its final results can affect the future social-political developments of Turkey. In the municipal elections, unlike the presidential and parliamentary elections, the role of “person” Or the candidate is far more important than the party and the political movement, and the current situation worries Erdogan and his party.

In the recent Turkish elections in May of this year, more than 95% of the voters were clear and practically there was no population called “undecided” and “undecided” and the party-political arrangement of the country had done something. That everyone’s duty is clear and everyone knows exactly which front they are in. But now it is not the case and millions of Turkish citizens answered the question “Which candidate will you vote for?” They give such answers: “I don’t know”, “I haven’t made a decision yet”, “I haven’t reached a conclusion yet”.

Two important meanings of people being “undecided” in elections Turkey

Political experts believe that the current state of the polls and pointing to the huge number of millions of undecideds and undecideds have two important political meanings and these two symbolic meanings for the party The cause and development of Erdoğan’s government and his opposition front are worrying: A) The era of lack of prediction: According to many political experts Even up to this moment, neither Erdogan’s team nor opposition think tanks know exactly whether Akram Imamoglu will remain the candidate supported by the Republican People’s Party of Istanbul, or Murad Korum, a young man of slogans and epics, who is the candidate supported by Erdogan and announced that The oppressed people of Gaza will be extremely happy if he wins. In other words, the municipal elections in Turkey, in most provinces and especially in places known as strategic fortresses, this accurate prediction It doesn’t exist and this is what worries both sides of the field. Image/1402/12/23/140212231614252829611764.jpg”/>
B) People’s disregard for parties: Experts believe that after the victory of Erdogan’s opponents in the May elections This month, the ruling party gained more self-confidence and the opposition was divided.

But the new government did not do anything for Turkey’s critical and skyrocketing economy, and as a result, most of the voters did not like it. They are happy with the Justice and Development Party and not with the opposition. As a result, in the upcoming political competition, the party does not have a special function and it is the character of the candidate that is important to the people. For example, in a large and strategic city like Ankara, Mansour Yowash is supported by the People’s Republic Party. Is. But this city has a special interest in Mansour Yuash himself, and even if he was nominated by a small party, he would probably still get votes.

The importance of economy and livelihood for the people of Turkey

The evidence shows that the clever scenario of Erdoğan and his partner Baghçeli in the May elections in the field of securing the election environment and The issue of the importance of “national survival” and “national security” was the main reason for the victory.

In response to those who said why Turkey is in an economic crisis, he answered: “Is the survival of Turkey more important or The price of two kilos of onions? If you don’t vote for us, the coalition of traitors, separatists and supporters of homosexuality will destroy Turkey”. The voter has become important.

Aidin Erdem, the general director of the Konda Research Research and Field Survey Center, emphasized that the economy is currently the most important priority of the citizens and said: “Even the voters of the Justice and Development Party are not satisfied with the way the country’s economy is managed.” . They did not see the peace and stability they expected. The current unhappiness of the people is caused by the very high levels of inflation in this country. People expect the government and ruling party as well as the mayor to serve and bring about change. Erdogan may have kept his votes, but the votes of the Justice and Development Party have decreased drastically. /Tasnim/Uploaded/Image/1402/12/23/1402122316182791929611794.jpg”/>

People’s prediction about Turkish economy

Conda Research Institute asked the people of Turkey about their predictions about the developments of the next few months in this country and the answers are as follows:
40% of supporters of the Justice Party and development believe that they expect to face a new economic crisis. But this percentage among the supporters of the People’s Republic Party is around 80%, and they are extremely afraid of Turkey’s economic future. But analysts say, at least in the May elections, we learned that Erdogan’s emotional connection with his voters is easily It does not stop with the economic situation of the people and we should not expect that this issue will cause a political earthquake.

Aidin Erdem, a field survey expert in Turkey, further said about the undecided population: “We are currently facing a strange situation. One out of every two people we asked who they would vote for was undecided. We have never faced such a situation in any election. This shows that people’s relationship with the institution of politics has become very weak. The increase of undecided voters can be seen from both sides. The opposition voters became passive, despairing and wavering from the defeat of the elections and the post-election debates. Meanwhile, those who voted for Erdoğan and the AKP are also undecided due to poor economic management. They didn’t see the rewards of their vote in real life and the economic recovery has yet to come. Citizens are still not satisfied with this situation. The discomfort is caused by the increase in inflation at very high levels”.

What will Akram Beg do?
The most important point of curiosity of political analysts and polling companies is whether Akram Imamoglu will win in the upcoming elections and will hold Istanbul again or not? Akram Imamoglu considers himself independent of parties. This is a smart strategy. Akram Imamoglu influences the opposition voters and can attract undecided voters to his side. But Erdogan will take the stage and talk.

The card he will play next week may highlight a project related to urban transformation and make a special golden promise to the people of Istanbul.

92% of people in Istanbul say that they cannot rebuild their house without government support. This is a very key point. Erdoğan can take advantage of this issue.

On the other hand, Erdoğan’s stronghold and main base are housewives. Even though they have felt the inflation with their flesh and bones, they are loyal voters and this group of undecided voters will not give up their party easily. But in any case, the outcome of this game cannot be predicted, and if Imamoglu wins, he will face Erdogan in the coming years.

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