Why did Erdogan win again in the Turkish elections?

Mehr News Agency, International Group: Holding Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections in May 1402 AH Shamsi was an important event whose results ended up in favor of Erdogan.

The widespread economic crisis, the financial consequences of the great earthquake of Hero Marash and 10 surrounding provinces as well as The escalating tensions and internal political differences turned the said election into a very important and decisive political campaign. Many political analysts in Turkey and other countries believed that Erdogan and his political partner, Baghçeli’s government, due to the economic crisis and widespread popular discontent They leave it to their competitors. They emphasized that the six important political parties of Turkey, for the first time, have created a broad political coalition called “Coalition of the Nation” which, despite some serious differences in tastes, revolves around the important goal of defeating Erdoğan. gathered under one roof and has a high chance of victory. However, with this description, Erdogan managed to become the president of Turkey for the third time by winning 52% of the votes.

The re-victory of Erdoğan and his partner, the government of Baghçeli, the leader of the Nationalist Movement Right Party, once Other opposition parties of Erdogan faced disappointment and defeat. Since the rejection of the presidential political-executive system has many powers in the hands of the president, and considering that the majority of 600 seats in the parliament are in the hands of Erdogan and Baghceli, The opposition parties do not have a significant share in making important decisions, and practically the power has been captured in Erdogan’s hands. However; The public mobilization of Erdogan’s opponents did nothing, and the joint candidate supported by them, Kemal Kaliçdar Oglu, the leader of the People’s Republic Party, won 48 D Rozd Ara accepted defeat.

The main reasons for Erdogan’s re-victory

One ​​of the important questions that arose after the announcement of the results of the general and presidential elections in Turkey was why Erdogan and his party, despite the economic crisis and the implementation of policies And ineffective programs, were able to get votes from the people? This question also has broader dimensions that are linked to the goals included in the “Turkey 2023 Vision Document”. That is, the same document whose ambitious goals were promoted by Erdogan and his party since 2011, and based on its general goals, Turkey was supposed to become one of the top ten economic powers in the world in 2023, on the 100th anniversary of the founding of the republic. become But not only this goal was not achieved, but Turkey’s conditions worsened compared to 10 years ago and inflation in sensitive areas such as housing, food and clothing experienced a worrying 3-digit situation. This is where the experts ask: Why did Erdoğan, despite the clear failure of the 2023 vision goals, still enter the Beş Tepe palace as the president? In response to these questions; The mentioned cases, the most important of which are:

1. Securitization policy: The six opposition parties of Erdogan did not agree with one of the PKK satellite institutions. K called “People’s Democratic Party ha” or e. D.P, compromise and coalition. Because this party, although it officially has a representative in the Turkish Parliament, but in its political opinions and decisions and positions, it clearly differs from Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the terrorist group. PKK. K follows. Although the opposition coalition of Erdoğan did not form a group with this party. But later it became clear that Kamal Kulichdaroglu, the leader of the People’s Republic Party and the candidate supported by the opposition, spoke to the said party and He has had rumors and possibly reached agreements behind the scenes. Erdoğan and Baghçeli, in their speeches, highlighting this issue; They have practically made the atmosphere more secure and announced that if the opposition comes to power, there is a fear that the survival of Turkey and the national security of this country will be endangered and a government will come to power that will enter through the door of tolerance and compromise with the separatists.

2. Bipolar religious–secular: Although three parties out of the total of six parties of Erdogan’s opposition coalition including “Saadat”, “Democrat” and “Indeh” parties They were seriously and openly supporters of religious and Islamic values ​​and were included in the jirga of conservative parties, but the trend of the other three parties towards secular beliefs and approaches made Erdogan, by stimulating the religious emotions and feelings of the conservative segment of Turkey pretend that if secularists come to power, concepts such as homosexual marriage and western and anti-religious values ​​will prevail in Turkey.

3. The decisive vote of Sinan Oghan: one of the national figures of Turkey who entered the presidential election race as an independent candidate, a person to The name of Sinan Oghan came to the scene with national rightist slogans and by winning 4% of the people’s votes, he caused the elections to go to the second round. But a few days after the announcement of the results, he agreed with Erdogan and agreed to support him. As a result, a significant part of Oghan fans; They cast their vote in favor of Erdogan in the second round.

4. The inability of the candidate supported by Erdogan’s opponents: as soon as the defeat of Kilicdaroglu was announced against Erdogan, his main partner, Mrs. Moral Actioner the leader of the so-called National Party Grai He expressed his regret to the “Good Party” from the alliance with Galiçdaroğlu and said openly; If, according to his advice, all of Erdogan’s opponents were willing to accept Akram Imamoglu as a joint candidate, it would not be difficult to impose defeat on Erdogan. Other leaders of the opposition coalition parties, more or less implicitly accepted this criticism and acknowledged that Kelicdaroglu was not a candidate who could be powerful enough against Erdogan. act charismatically.

5. Disruption in the ranks of the opposition and the lack of a clear strategy: Shortly before the elections, Moral Actioner The leader of the Good Party was angry with the Mellat coalition and separated. He had announced that if Glikharaoglu comes to power, he should take over the post of vice president. After Actioner‘s anger, the Opposition front got into trouble and Galiçdaroğlu agreed to promise the post of vice president to Ankara mayor Mansoor Yovaş and Istanbul mayor Akram Imamoğlu in addition to the 5 leaders of his partner parties. Meanwhile, he and other members of the Nation coalition did not have a clear strategy and plan, and the only plan and main focus of this coalition was to try to remove Erdogan from the power scene.

After Erdogan and the Justice and Development Party came back to power, murmurs of dissatisfaction with the performance of Galiçdaroğlu As the leader of the People’s Republic Party, he became taller day by day, and he took his place in the party congress to Uzgur justify”>Ozel gave. In this way, Ozgur Ozel, a young politician, has become the leader of the oldest party in Turkey and a party that has existed for a hundred years. Even after its life, it is still recognized as the most important opposition party to Erdogan with a quarter of the total votes of the Turkish people. Although this party failed to change the power equations in Turkey in the 1402 elections, it caused other parties such as “Sadat”, “Democrat”, “Idea” and “Jash and Democracy” to win a significant number of seats in the Turkish Parliament. to achieve.