Why are the leaders of the self-governing organizations angry about the “Al-Aqsa Storm”?

report Mehr News Agency, Al Jazeera news channel, in a series of articles, examined the role of the Palestinian Authority in the process of the 6-month war after the Al-Aqsa storm operation, and wrote that the issue of Palestine today is at a crucial stage. .

The Americans have declared that they need an updated self-governing organization. In this regard, the former prime minister of the self-governing organization, Mohammad Ashtiyeh, announced that the organization that the Israelis and their allies want is not our organization. At the same time, after announcing this issue, he submitted his resignation to Mahmoud Abbas, head of the self-governing organization, because according to his quote, “the future stage and its challenges require a new political and governmental structure that takes into account the new situation in the Gaza Strip.” give.”

In this way, the self-governing organizations signaled their agreement with the American-European innovation within themselves, so that they could, in what was introduced by the West’s plan for the day after the war, have a role In this series, we will try to review the articles related to the positive and negative actions of the self-governing organizations in the Gaza war process;

After the start of Al-Aqsa storm operation on October 7th of last year, questions regarding the role of the Palestinian Authority and its presence in the Palestinian arena intensified. This uncertainty was due to the fact that before this operation, the last nails were put on the coffin of this organization and its sovereignty was not a real sovereignty and it acted more like a municipality affiliated to Israel in a large area called the West Bank, and its only security role was to protect It was about the security of Israel and its Zionist settlements.

It was not even two months since the beginning of Al-Aqsa storm that the self-governing organization announced its political project in this regard, and some of its personalities such as Hossein Al-Sheikh, Mohammad Ashtiyeh and Jibril Rajoub explained this project. This was while Mahmoud Abbas did not raise a word in this regard even once.

Mahmoud Abbas, since taking office in this organization in 2005, took control of the Palestinian security forces and took over the leadership of the Fatah Movement and the Palestine Liberation Movement. to have the most power in this field. Despite the speculations about the possible successor of Mahmoud Abbas, it seems that there is no popular or electoral situation in these speculations. is.

Scenarios of competition in self-governing organizations to replace Abu Mazen

Despite the old age of Mahmoud Abbas and the comments about his physical condition and his public presence in meetings and conferences, research centers pay special attention to investigating the situation. They have after Mahmoud Abbas. In February 2023, the International Crisis Group, an international organization in Brussels, put forward a report entitled “Bass Succession Struggle” and discussed three scenarios in this context, and wrote that this conflict would probably lead to the complete collapse of the self-governing organization in the worst case scenario.

According to this report, the first scenario includes the holding of presidential elections based on legal principles, which, although considered the best scenario, is the least likely, because There is no horizon for holding such elections, neither in the context of the internal situation of the Fatah movement nor in the agreement with Hamas and other Palestinian groups, and Abu Mazen unilaterally stopped and canceled the negotiations in this regard.

The second scenario is that Abbas appoints a successor or entrusts this mission to the Fatah movement, which can provide relative stability in the transitional phase. The solutions of this scenario can include the creation of the post of deputy head of the self-governing organization or the selection of a person from within the Constitutional Court or the Fatah movement to hold this position.

The third scenario is the creation of chaos in the West Bank and the spread of bloody conflicts between different parts of the self-governing organizations and the Fatah movement, which can cause each of Fatah’s characters to A number of armed elements take over a part of the West Bank. This process will eventually lead to a widespread political and security crisis and the collapse of self-governing organizations.

Absolute power; The reason for the absence of a successor for Abbas

We said that Mahmoud Abbas, by taking possession of the three levers of power, greatly reduced the chances of his rivals to succeed him, and even though the Fatah movement held its congresses During the years 2009 and 2016, he transferred a number of senior figures of the movement to the first ranks, but he could not find a significant competitor for him.

Ghaith al-Omari, the former adviser of Mahmoud Abbas, in a conversation with France 24 channel, says that Abbas and the people close to him are the image and sovereignty of any person who reaches relative power in the Palestinian arena. were destroying Abbas himself was one of the 3 options to replace Yasser Arafat, the former head of the self-governing organization, but now there is no real option to replace him. In recent years, he separated Muhammad Dahlan from the Fatah movement and the Central Committee, and he did the same with Nasser al-Qadwa, the niece of Yasser Arafat and the former representative of Palestine at the United Nations, and in March 2021, he also separated him from the body of the Fatah movement. He was trying to appoint independent candidates from the Fatah movement to participate in the legislative assembly elections that were to be held in the same year. Of course, Abbas also canceled the holding of these elections.

Tawfiq al-Tirawi was another person dismissed by Abbas. In August 2023, he dismissed 12 governors of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, which is said to have been done to prevent the spread of the influence of Jibril Al-Rajjub and Tawfiq al-Tirawi.

Currently, Hossein al-Sheikh, Secretary of the Palestine Liberation Movement and Minister of Civil Affairs, as well as Majed Farah, the head of the Public Information Service of the Autonomous Shekilat, are the closest people to Mahmoud Abbas, and the government They guarantee the organization’s decision-making. They always accompany Abbas on foreign trips and internal meetings. These two people are mentioned as the most important possible successors of Mahmoud Abbas. In addition to these, some other prominent figures such as Jibril Al-Rajoub, Marwan Al-Barghouthi, Mohammad Dahlan, Mohammad Ashtiyeh and Mahmoud Al-Aloul are still prominent in this field.

The succession plan of Mahmoud Abbas and the stalemate of Storm Al-Aqsa

In the shadow of the extensive efforts that Hussein al-Sheikh was making to succeed Mahmoud Abbas and his deputy, it was announced in August 2023 that the 8th Congress of the Liberation Movement on December 17, 2023 will be held.

Lebanon Al-Akhbar newspaper announced at that time that Hossein al-Sheikh made a massive effort to gain the support of various groups for himself and wanted regional agreement to take over the leadership of the Fatah movement. Follow Mahmoud al-Aloul and bring Majid Faraj to the Fatah movement’s central committee.

In this regard, he held negotiations with the officials of the Zionist regime and the Jordanian government to show himself as the most capable person to control the security and political situation in the West Bank. In two months, he had three meetings with Bandar al-Sudairi, the non-resident ambassador of Saudi Arabia in the self-governing organization, to inform him about the efforts of the self-governing organization to create peace in the West Bank and to announce his support for the project of normalizing Saudi relations with the Israeli regime.

He tried to follow two basic steps in the process of holding the 8th Congress of Fatah Movement. First, to weaken his rivals within the Fatah movement and reduce their influence. In this regard, he dismissed dozens of governors, ambassadors, and ministers of the Ashtiyeh cabinet, who were close to Jibril Al-Rajjub and Mahmoud Al-Alawul, and appointed people close to him in these positions.

His second attempt was to personally take over the file of logistics measures for the establishment of the 8th Congress in order to ensure the security of this Congress through his relations with the Zionist regime. Give necessary powers to this Congress to make important decisions and also invite the people you want to this Congress. During this period, he tried to expel people like Marwan Al-Barghouthi, who were captives of the Zionist regime, from the Central Committee.

Nevertheless, the beginning of the October 7 operation failed all these efforts and stopped the holding of this congress until the final results of the Al-Aqsa storm operation were determined.

The successor of Mahmoud Abbas is waiting for the results of the Gaza war

In this way, it is clear that the process of developments before the 7th of October will never be the same as after. While the occupiers and the Americans thought that they had completely disabled the Gaza front and made them busy with securing work permits and improving the economic and living conditions, and that they could have the necessary leeway to choose the right option to replace Mahmoud Abbas, Operation Storm Al-Aqsa messed up all the calculations of the enemy and raised this logical question, what will be the task of Abbas’s successor after the Gaza war?

Until now, there is no end in sight for the war in Gaza, and the American, Israeli and regional options they have put forward regarding this war and the situation after it have shown their ineffectiveness. has shown Before this war, America and Israel were thinking of exploring options that would interact with the conditions and characteristics desired by America and Israel in self-governing organizations as much as possible and bring these organizations closer to an urban management that is completely under the supervision of the best way. Occupiers operate. They tried not to pay any attention to the existence of heavyweights such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad, but with the Al-Aqsa storm operation, the process of developments changed and the assessment of the situation after the war became the most important discussion, and America and Israel sought to implement options that, at least so far, have been ineffective. And it has shown its unreality and no clarity can be seen in its dimensions. Hamas is still present in the field and administration of Gaza and resists with all its military weight against the strongest wave of military attacks in the history of the region.

American-Zionist deadlock as a result of Al-Aqsa storm

In this situation, it seems that the self-governing organization and its leader and the various hostile currents in this organization are completely marginalized and no one cares about them. But on the other hand, if Hamas succeeds in getting out of the Gaza war, it will impose its political and military position on the region and will change the regional situation and its agreements and plans, and will become the biggest current and power in the Palestinian arena. it is never possible to ignore it.

America and Israel, who were looking for the best option to replace Abbas before the Al-Aqsa storm, are now considering difficult options and don’t really know if they should hire a technocrat and Accept a civilian accepted by the international community to head the self-governing organization or accept a security figure to control the security situation in the West Bank to be able to suppress possible protests? Or to look for a public figure who can create an internal agreement in Palestine.