The gloomy vision of the Ukrainian general for the future of the war with Russia

According to the international group Tasnim news agency, quoting the German “Focus” magazine, Vadim Skibitsky , the Ukrainian general predicts that it is no longer possible to win the war in Ukraine on the battlefield alone. He looks worried. He said: “The situation is more difficult than the first days of the Russian invasion and it will get worse.

He predicts that Russia will initially follow its plan to “liberate” the entire regions of Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine. will do, a task that has remained unchanged since 2022.

The time and place of the next Russian attack depends on the speed and progress on the front, said the Ukrainian general. Our problem is simple: we have no weapons. They (the Russians) always knew that April and May would be a difficult time for us.

He added: “Ukraine is currently far from stabilizing the situation.” On the other hand, Russia is doing “everything” to achieve a bigger victory. This Ukrainian general said: the Russian army is no longer the arrogant organization it was in 2022, but now it functions as a “single form, with a specific program and under a single command”. Looking ahead, it is suspected that Russia is preparing to attack Kharkiv and Sumi regions in the northeast of the country. The timing depends on the defense strength of Ukraine in Donbass. However, he assumed that the main Russian operation would begin “at the end of May or early June.” It follows three steps to destabilize the country. The most important factor is the military issue. According to him, although the US Congress has belatedly given the green light for more military aid, it will take weeks for this military aid to reach the front lines. It is unlikely to match Russia’s stockpile of grenades or provide an effective defense against Russia’s low-tech destructive guided bombs.

One consolation, the general said, is that Russia faces similar problems. The Russian army can no longer be compared to the professional army that started the war. But Russia has more soldiers to send into battle, which puts more pressure on the Ukrainian defense forces.

General Skibitsky sees no way for Ukraine to win on the battlefield alone. Even if Ukraine succeeds in pushing Russian forces back to its borders – which it is increasingly moving away from – it will not end the war. Such wars can only be ended through treaties. According to him, both sides are currently trying to find the “most suitable position” for possible talks. However, he estimates that meaningful negotiations cannot begin until the second half of 2025. According to him, until then, Russia will have to deal with significant “headwinds”.

For this Ukrainian general, Europe is the biggest unknown factor in this war. He argues that if Ukraine’s neighbors don’t find a way to increase their weapons production to help Ukraine, they too will end up being targeted by Russia. He downplayed the NATO forces in Ukraine’s neighbors and stressed that it would mean little if tested. He predicted that “the Russians will capture the Baltic countries in seven days”. According to him, “NATO’s response time is ten days.” In another part of his speech, he said: We will continue to fight. We have no other choice. We want to live. But the outcome of the war does not depend only on us.

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