Former advisor to the US government: Hamas is on the way to victory

– International News – Aaron David Miller, who from 1978 to 2003, accompanied the discussion of Middle East conflicts in the US Department of State as a consultant and negotiator, and today is an expert at the Carnegie Institute for International Peace in Washington, in a conversation with the Swiss newspaper Tagus Anseiger, assessed that the reality of this is: The Palestinian resistance movement Hamas is winning.

Aaron David Miller helped shape the US Middle East policy for many years in the State Department. In this interview, this expert explained why US President Joe Biden absolutely wants to prevent Israel’s ground attack on the city of Rafah.

In part of this, he First, let’s look at what Joe Biden has actually done, the conversation stated. He has suspended shipments of high-quality weapons to Israel because he fears Israel is about to launch a massive ground offensive against Rafah. For weeks, Biden has been warning the Israeli prime minister about US concerns about the safety of the 1.3 million Palestinians there.

He added: “Without a realistic plan to deliver this Such an attack would be a disaster for people going to a place where there is drinking water, food, shelter and medical care. There are also precedents about this action of Biden. For example, during his presidency, Ronald Reagan delayed the delivery of F-16 fighter jets to Tel Aviv three times.

This American expert went on to say : Of course, this only affects the Rafah operation and not other military aid to Israel. The Biden administration is aware that Israel has a front-line problem on its northern border and the problem with Iran, and I think they also know that the signal sent by this decision will make Hamas more inflexible in negotiations for a ceasefire. /p>

He emphasized: This American action is a signal to Israel that the time has come to de-escalate the war and reach an agreement. Israel has the following problem: in the areas north of the Gaza Strip where the Israeli armed forces have already weakened Hamas, this movement is strengthening again.

He added: the problem The big fact is: Hamas is winning. Israel has no plans for the post-war period. Who should govern the Gaza Strip? If you ask me how this will end, I don’t know.

The former adviser to the US State Department went on to say: In this case, the US president is increasingly Rafah is disappointed. Others in his government are unhappy with everything the Israelis do. He tried to find a precise answer in this situation: stopping an arms shipment in order to influence Israel’s calculations on an issue. Others in the US government are not only disappointed, but in their view, Israel’s policies undermine American interests in fundamental ways. This government has trapped America and how is he going to get out?

Aaron David Miller stated in another part of this conversation: This (suspension of delivery weapons) was a direct US response to Israel’s threat of a ground attack on Rafah. This decision has small political benefits. But let’s look at the reactions of Congress’ biggest critics. For Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders, this step is not enough, but should only be the beginning. (to Rafah) It jeopardizes negotiations over the end of the war and the return of the hostages, and also buries any hopes the Biden administration has of normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel. The Saudis are very interested in these relations, but not when Gaza is burning.

This former American official continued: Now it is the turn of the Israelis. The question here is whether they will deliberately ignore Biden’s request or be more cautious in Rafah so as not to risk further delays in arms delivery. If the Israelis decide to launch a ground attack, it will mean a battle that will last several weeks. This creates a much bigger problem in the relations between Israel and America.

He went on to say: Israelis can further weaken Hamas by removing four brigades, for example. do But this will not solve the main problem: Hamas will survive this war. Israel is not ready to create conditions for the strategic defeat of Hamas.

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