When Hezbollah becomes the number one threat to the Israeli regime

according to the Hebrew group Tasnim news agency, Yedioth Aharanot newspaper in an analytical report describing the situation in Israel in He discussed the northern borders with Lebanon and emphasized that Hezbollah has set the north on fire today with its missiles and has taken tens of thousands of displaced Israelis hostage outside their homes.

Ron Ben Yashai, the author of this report, believes that, from Israel’s point of view, the war of iron swords was triggered by a catastrophic incident in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The concerns of the Israeli security institutions that the October 7 operation by Hamas is actually the first stage of a coordinated attack between Hezbollah, Hamas and Iran against Israel, disappeared in the first few days.

One ​​of the main signs of this decrease in concern was the cessation of caution calls for the units stationed in the north, which was aimed at preventing Iran and Hezbollah from using the situation. In Israel, it was carried out to take action through the northern borders.

This is how the war with the main goal from the Israeli point of view is to overthrow and destroy Hamas. Both in the military dimension and in the sovereign dimension, it started with the release of the abducted, both those who are alive and those who have died.

At that time, Hezbollah’s firestorms in the north and the Houthis’ in the south were considered as secondary events, with the aim of helping Hamas in the war and forcing Israel to divide its army forces on three fronts (including in Judea and Samaria). West Bank -) has taken place.

The strategic view in Israel was that Hamas must first be defeated in terms of military and governance in Gaza and then The deterrence work of Hezbollah has also started and in that situation, this party is willing to accept the agreement and compromise and move its Rezvan forces and anti-armor missiles away from the area around the border to the north of the Litani river and on average about 10 kilometers above it. will agree.

But during the recent months, especially after the invasion of Iran last April, all these equations have changed and the war from one incident The Israeli-Palestinian turned into an all-encompassing regional war, the results of which will bring with it security-strategic and even vital consequences for Israel and its citizens.

Furthermore, in recent months, Hezbollah has become the main threat that Israel must eliminate urgently, and this is not only because Hezbollah is trying to depopulate the northern Galilee and expand. There was widespread destruction and fires in this area, but because he is currently holding more than 50,000 Israelis hostage to his actions, and only when Nasrallah allows, they will be able to return to their homes.

From a military point of view, the situation has also changed, in a situation where the Israeli army is close to overcoming the military capability of Hamas through the military invasion of the Gaza Strip. and it is significantly destroying the capability of its civilian rule, and in Judea and Samaria, the Israeli army is preventing the formation of the intifada through its offensive operations, in the northern scene, the Israeli army is not able to achieve any important strategic goals. He is not ready and certainly has not taken any action that could be used as a goal to force Hezbollah to accept fire.

Contrary to Israel’s predictions, the images of destruction and devastation in the Gaza Strip have not deterred this Lebanese group and the Iranians, and the reason for this is that Hezbollah responds to every blow that is inflicted on them. They also increase their attacks.

In another part of the report, it is mentioned that the conditions created by Hezbollah in the north in recent months require There are fundamental changes in security priorities and war objectives, moving Hezbollah away from the borders to a distance of 10 kilometers or even a little more, in a situation where Hezbollah is not deterred, will not bring about any change in the situation of strategic threats originating from southern Lebanon. .

Even if we build a wall of trees on the northern borders, it still cannot prevent the formation of a real danger of an all-out war.

According to the author, any kind of diplomatic arrangement of this situation is like prescribing acetaminophen to a cancer patient.

Ben Yishai believes: Achieving the goal in Gaza is not enough, we must seek a strategic victory in a multi-front war, a war in which Israel is currently present, but Israel is capable of achieving He does not have such a victory alone, and he must get help from the United States and his Western allies, as well as the countries in the region.

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