US presidential election: Biden or plan B?

The French-language newspaper “Lorian Lejour” analyzed the possibilities for the upcoming presidential elections in an analytical report, which is explained below. In this article we read: After Joe Biden’s disastrous performance during his debate with Donald Trump, Democratic Party officials, its main supporters and many of its voters are calling for a change of candidate. Just a few weeks ago, it seemed like the Democrats’ best bet would be the current occupant of the White House, because defeating an outgoing president isn’t easy. Since 1932, only Herbert Hoover, Jimmy Carter, George W. Bush, and Donald Trump have failed to win re-election. During the Democratic primaries, it was considered unnecessarily risky given Joe Biden’s withdrawal or his face-off with a credible Democratic challenger. When Democratic presidents Truman in 1952 and Johnson in 1968 decided not to run again, it was Republican candidates Eisenhower and Nixon who won. Likewise, during the 1980 Democratic primaries, Edward Kennedy’s nomination against Carter in 1980 put pressure on Carter’s campaign, and it was Reagan who reached the White House.

According to That precedent made it wise for most Democrats to back the candidacy of Biden, a man who had already defeated Donald Trump once. No Democrat who aspires to be president one day wants to face a vulnerable incumbent.

Growing concern

But growing concern about the age of Biden, now 81 and who will be 86 at the end of his second term, has become a central campaign issue, even as his rival faces a felony conviction in New York. This shows how ineffective American politics has become. After his televised debate with Trump, an editorial in the New York Times called for the president to step down, and recent polls show that about half of Democratic voters do the same.

However, if Biden does not abandon his candidacy, the chances of him being replaced are virtually zero. During the Democratic Party primaries, he won the necessary number of delegates to be nominated as the candidate at the party’s convention in Chicago in August. These representatives pledged to support him unless they changed their minds. Moreover, even if the Democrats can easily replace him, there is the question of choosing a new candidate. Poll after poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris is no more popular than Joe Biden, but ditching her in favor of another candidate risks alienating large numbers of women and minority voters.

As for the other possible candidates — California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and others — they have yet to prove themselves on the national stage. To understand how quickly an unproven candidate can fall, just consider Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ highly anticipated but disastrous effort to unseat Trump in the Republican primary.

So far. Joe Biden is not considering stepping down, and public support for former President Obama and Clinton is believed to bolster support from the Democratic Party. This is no doubt because his candidate can still beat Donald Trump. In America’s fractured political climate, millions of people who polls say he is too old for a second term will still vote to keep Trump out of the White House. Given that both Republicans and Democrats believe the future of American democracy is at stake, voter turnout is likely to be high.

Inefficient elections

However, his candidacy will be increasingly contested in the coming weeks, as many Democratic officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to the media, say he should not run again. This weight of insistence weighs on the president’s ability to flip—at least until the Democratic convention; And bringing up the idea to move up his official inauguration date reinforces the idea that he’s panicked, even if he’s not. All of this is happening at a time when Joe Biden was hoping to draw media attention to Donald Trump’s entire past.

Right now, the Democratic Party is paralyzed. Failing to support an incumbent president carries a great political risk, but continuing to support a weak candidate can be even more dangerous. Meanwhile, Trump has sharpened his teeth. Almost all of his legal issues were postponed until after the election. In his failed trial, due to the payment of bribes, the verdict has not yet been issued. Recent Supreme Court decisions make it less likely that he will be sentenced to prison and remind conservative voters that he has tilted the Supreme Court to the right through his appointments and will do so again if re-elected. The media is now much more interested in his choice of vice president than in his unpredictable behavior.

The decision about Joe Biden’s political future rests primarily on his own shoulders and cannot be predicted what he would do. For now, he says he’s staying in the race and trying to change the subject. But with each passing day, in the Democratic camp, the pressure in favor of a change of candidate is increasing. This is an unprecedentedly dangerous situation in an election that has already turned into a dysfunctional one.

Now America is approaching its presidential election while Trump has survived a serious assassination attempt. win. These types of threats are usually caused by political and social tensions and can indicate deep dissatisfaction among groups of people.

This issue can also indicate the dangers of extremism and political violence. Also, the media and social networks play an important role in spreading this type of behavior.

Finally, the psychological and social effects of such actions should also be taken into account. Fear and insecurity can have serious consequences on the society.

However, the victory of Donald Trump in the upcoming American elections depends on several factors:

1. Popularity and supporter base: If Trump can maintain the support of his electoral base and attract new supporters, his chances of success will increase. If he finds a strong and popular competitor, his job will be more difficult.

3. Economic and social issues: The economic situation, social issues and current challenges can affect public opinion and affect his chances of winning. 4. Campaign strategies: His ability to run an effective campaign and attract key voters from different regions of the country is also very important. It is difficult due to the rapid changes in the political and social environment, but it is said that Trump is still a valid option in the field of competition.

Now, amid the power struggles between Biden and Trump in recent days, what made news in the media was the terrorist plot that Trump apparently survived. This event brought different reactions on social networks and among people who closely follow the events of these days in America. Many considered it a show game by Donald Trump in order to increase his popularity in this way. 

Some users of the X social network put forward their own theories on top of the pictures of Trump published in the media and social networks after the shooting: it is a perfect picture that is hard to believe that it is not staged. . The picture of the century, which is absolutely incredible.

Another user wrote shortly after this incident: Do you think the shooting at Trump was staged?

Another user who wrote about 2 thousand A follower wrote: Don’t you think this incident was staged? Look how the bodyguards quickly take Trump away.

Another user who cannot accept Trump’s reaction to this attack said: The shooting of Trump was completely staged. He will not stop this path. Obviously whoever did this shooting wouldn’t be wrong if they wanted to kill him. Trump then stood up and raised his hand. If this incident had been real, he would have been very horrified. It was staged. Meanwhile, some of Trump’s friends and partners quickly claimed after this incident that surviving the operation that the FBI considered to be an attempt on Trump’s life helped him. will do.

Derrick Van Jordan, a Republican representative of the state of Wisconsin, said in a conversation with Politico that President Trump was saved from this incident. He will win the upcoming elections. Donald Trump, the former president of the United States, was shot during a speech in an election campaign in the state of Pennsylvania. The images released from the moment of the incident show that while Trump was giving a speech, the sound of several shots was heard and suddenly the American president knelt behind the podium of the speech. Moments later, when Trump stood on his feet again, the images showed traces of blood on his face. He was showing. He also fisted his hands in those moments and shouted “fight, fight, fight”. His activities have exposed the American people and all the scenarios for which he was accused and sought to escape from them, he only lacked the story of an assassination!

Reporter and translator: Samia Khalili