The reaction of resistance elements to the all-out war in Lebanon; Horror day scenario

According to Webangah News quoted by Mehr News Agency, Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies in an article referring to the unity of the war zones of the resistance, investigating the phenomenon of the possibility of war between the regime Zionist and Lebanese Hezbollah has paid. This article states that the expansion of tension between Lebanon’s Hezbollah and the Zionist regime in June 2024 and their counterattacks, as well as the expansion of the geographical and qualitative scope of the attacks, indicate the occurrence of relative changes in the rules of conflict that the two sides have faced in the past months since the beginning of Operation Storm. Al-Aqsa were trying not to cross it.

Lebanon’s Hizbollah recently revealed the geographical framework and method of its attacks, as well as the nature of the weapons used in response to the attacks and The aggression of the Zionist regime has expanded against the Gaza Strip and the southern parts of Lebanon. Meanwhile, the Zionist regime continues to commit genocide in Gaza and ignores all international standards and rules in this field, and at the same time, it also follows the policy of assassinating Hezbollah elements in southern Lebanon or in Syria and Iraq. /span>

The tension between Hezbollah and the army of the Zionist regime and its tendency towards military confrontation, from the framework of the traditional rules of conflicts It has gone beyond. Of course, this confrontation does not include the Iraqi resistance forces or the Ansarullah movement in Yemen, apart from other regional resistance structures, so the question arises, what will be the position of the resistance elements if a war breaks out between Hezbollah and the Zionist regime? Will these groups expand the framework of anti-Zionist operations in the category of “unity of fields” or will they return to the traditional rules of conflicts in the region.

Positions of Iraqi resistance groups towards the war In Lebanon

If the tension between Hezbollah and the Zionist regime leads to a direct war, this means that Other regional resistance groups will also act in the support of Hezbollah, this is what we have seen since the start of the Zionist war in Gaza in October 2023. Of course, the official position of the Iraqi government may be somewhat different and they think that these behaviors may put the Iraqi government in tension with its international and regional obligations with the United States. These conditions may have a negative impact on the relations between the United States and the Iraqi government, especially in the context of ending the mission of the international coalition in Iraq.

It is likely that the Iraqi resistance groups will activate the joint operation room with Hezbollah in case of war in Lebanon. . This can be seen in the “unity of the fields” strategy by the resistance groups against the Zionist regime since the Al-Aqsa storm operation. In this context, we see that a number of military advisers affiliated with resistance groups traveled to Lebanon in May this year to establish a joint security, intelligence and military operations room with Hezbollah. Therefore, it seems that in the event of an all-out war between Hezbollah and Israel, the level of security and operational coordination between the two sides will expand.

2- The direct participation of Iraqi Hezbollah groups and the Al-Nujba movement and the Seyyed al-Shohada battalions to support Hezbollah. On July 22, these groups officially announced their readiness to fight alongside Lebanon’s Hezbollah if this movement agrees and after a possible attack by the Zionist regime on this country. Of course, this action is in contradiction with the positions of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al-Sudani, who puts a lot of pressure on these groups to stop attacks against American forces.

Also, probably in the event of this war, Afghanistan’s Fatemiyoun and Pakistan’s Zainbyoun brigades, which are currently in Syria are present, they will also join the anti-Zionist operations and these groups will support Hezbollah. Of course, this is if Lebanon’s Hezbollah needs to use these forces.

Syria and its complex calculations

Since the beginning of operations to support the resistance of the people of Gaza against the aggression of the Zionist regime, Damascus has been one of the The main elements of the resistance did not participate much in this process. This issue has several factors, among them the unwillingness of the Syrian government to increase tension with the Zionist regime, which reduces the spread of Zionist military attacks on important areas of Damascus. On the other hand, the Damascus government has achieved political achievements as a result of its open door policy with Arab countries. He has achieved and tries to keep these achievements for himself.

This article adds that Hamas’s relationship with the Syrian government is not the same as Lebanon’s Hezbollah, and the calculations of Damascus entering the front The support of these two currents is different from each other, so it is not clear that the government of Damascus will remain neutral in the event of a war with Lebanon’s Hezbollah as its main ally and the Zionist regime as its strategic enemy?

Of course, Damascus can have limited support for Lebanon’s Hezbollah due to the economic and political pressures caused by ending the war with terrorist groups inside the country. The border tension on the borders of Turkey and the attempt of Damascus to stay away from the regional war, in addition to the presence of Syrian refugees in Lebanon, are other factors of this position.

Yemen Armed Forces

About the Ansarullah movement and the Yemeni armed forces, which these days are playing their role in attacking ships affiliated with the Zionist regime or its supporting governments in Bab al-Mandab and South Darya. Red, as well as missile and drone attacks on various areas of the occupied territories, including Tel Aviv, in the event of a war, the following events may occur:

1- Quantitative and qualitative increase in the military operations of the Yemeni armed forces in the south of the Red Sea, which will target more ships and vessels.

Conclusion

Of course, in this case, in addition to the south of Lebanon, other regions of this country will also witness attacks by the Zionist regime against its economic infrastructure, and there may be limited ground operations in small areas. Boundary depth should be done. Of course, it seems that the axis of resistance in the region has more power to pressure Israel to push it back from Gaza and stop threats against Lebanon, but in any case, the shadow of the all-encompassing regional war can be seen on the development process.