What are Israel’s goals in the assassination of Haniyeh in Tehran?
Mehr News Agency, International Group: Wide coverage of the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, head of the political office of the Islamic Movement of Hamas in Tehran increased speculations about Netanyahu’s main intention and goals regarding the terrorist act in the last days of July. Some analysts said that Washington gave Tel Aviv a green light to remove senior leaders of the resistance, and others wrote about Netanyahu’s will to export the crisis in the region and create a direct conflict between the resistance axis and Centcom. Despite the fact that each of the above claims is close to reality, it seems that the four variables are “stopping the ceasefire negotiations in Doha-Cairo”, “getting to sell to the public opinion inside the occupied territories”, “intensification of tension with Iran and gaining key concessions from the West” ” and “helping Trump on the eve of the 2024 elections” were the main reasons of Netanyahu for issuing the order to assassinate Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
Ceasefire talks halt
In the last hours of May, Joe Biden unveiled his three-step plan for peace in Gaza in front of the press in the White House. Before the public announcement of this news, he announced that he had consulted with the leaders of the Zionist regime and the Arab countries before finalizing this plan. Less than a week later, this plan was approved by the Security Council in the form of Resolution 2735 and became the common idea of the international community to stop the war in occupied Palestine. After presenting this plan, William Burns and Brett McCurg went to the Middle East region to facilitate the establishment of contact between the conflicting parties and reach an agreement during the Cairo-Doha negotiations. In such a situation, Netanyahu’s repeated game of presenting unrealistic proposals for the failure of negotiations began.
In the last round of ceasefire negotiations in Rome, which was held with the presence of William Burns, Mohammad bin Abdul Rahman Al-Thani and Abbas Kamel, among the new terms of Israel, such as “the right of veto in Regarding the release of Palestinian prisoners”, “Monitoring the return process of Palestinian refugees to the north of Gaza”, “Continuation of control of the Rafah crossing and the Philadelphia axis” and “Biden’s written support request for Israel’s renewed attack on Gaza” were unveiled! Based on this, some analysts believe that the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh was a way for Netanyahu to get rid of the ceasefire negotiations in the region. After this terrorist incident, the Prime Minister of Qatar, in response to Anthony Blinken’s request, announced how it is possible to negotiate a ceasefire while one negotiator kills the other!
Procurement to sell to the public
One of the reasons for the prolongation of the war in Gaza and the controlled tension in the North-South front is Netanyahu’s attempt to achieve significant military successes in order to sell to public opinion. is In other words, the current Prime Minister of Israel is interested in assassinating people like Sardar Ismail Zahedi, Fawad Shekar, and Ismail Haniyeh to become the irreplaceable hero of the war who was able to protect the Zionists from external threats. According to the latest survey conducted on Israel’s Channel 13, the “Internal Unity” party led by Benny Gantz has 23 seats, the Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu has 21 seats, “Yesh Atid” led by Yair Lapid has 13 seats, “Israel is our home” led by Avigdor Lieberman with 12 seats and “Jewish Power” headed by Itamar Ben Goyer with 11 seats are in the first to fifth places. According to this poll, the opposition forces with 61 seats still have a better chance of winning over the right-wing coalition led by Netanyahu with 53 seats!
In such a situation, Netanyahu prefers to be the “hero” of the battlefield than the “diplomat” of the negotiating table! Some experts on occupied Palestine issues believe that if the assassination of senior leaders of Hamas and the destruction of all the infrastructures of Gaza cannot help to improve Netanyahu’s position in the polls, there is a possibility that he and the right-wing members of the cabinet will choose the option of escalating the tension in the northern front. In other words, the current cabinet of the Zionist regime will continue to fight until the public opinion changes in their favor once again.
Intensification of tension with Iran and gaining key concessions from the West
The irresponsible policy of the G-7 members during the Israeli terrorist attack on the consular section of the Iranian Embassy in Damascus and following the retaliatory operation of “Odeh Sadegh” not only caused Netanyahu did not regret it, but it seems to have given him the necessary motivation to intensify the tension with Tehran and the members of the resistance network. While the Westerners wanted Iran not to show a reaction to the assassination of its military commanders or to limit itself to a dramatic response; They did not take any punitive measures against Israel, such as diplomatic condemnation, suspension of arms aid, or imposition of economic sanctions. On the opposite side, Western governments imposed sanctions against the missile-UAV units of the Islamic Republic of Iran under the pretext of Iran’s legitimate defense.
In addition to this, the US Congress approved a 17 billion dollar arms-financial aid package to help the Zionist regime. The adoption of such a unilateral policy by the Westerners has made Netanyahu’s approach more “aggressive” and motivated him to assassinate other resistance commanders. In other words, Washington-Brussels, by adopting a wrong policy towards the current developments in the Middle East, are as guilty as the Zionists in the assassination of Martyr Haniyeh, and should be ready for a crushing response from the members of the resistance network in the Eastern Arab region.
The continuation of the crisis in the Middle East will make the fragile situation of the Democrats in the elections more difficult. During the last 10 months, the American foreign policy and national security team tried on different occasions to force Israel to stop the war and exchange of prisoners in order to lay the groundwork for the normalization of relations between Riyadh and Tel Aviv, followed by the official start of the IMAC corridor. but so far Netanyahu has not accompanied this request. Experts believe that the main reason for this lack of cooperation is to influence Arab-American voters and progressive forces in Washington, in order to prepare the ground for the defeat of Kamala Harris in swing states. In this analysis, with the defeat of the Democrats in the elections, there is a possibility that Netanyahu will give Trump the privilege of establishing peace in Gaza.
Bahre Sakhan
The continuation of the Gaza war and its extension in other battle fronts is more dependent on the will and personal interests of Netanyahu to stay in power than it is a function of the interests of the Zionist regime. . While members of the international community are looking for the implementation of Security Council Resolution 2735 and an immediate stop to the Gaza war, Netanyahu, fearing the resignation of right-wing cabinet members and the fall of the government, has not given in to the option of a ceasefire and is gambling on the lives of Zionist prisoners. The unsettled situation of Netanyahu in the polls conducted by the media and opinion polling centers shows that Netanyahu has not been able to achieve significant results in the last 10 months, and this has caused the Zionists to distrust him. In such a situation, Netanyahu prefers to continue the state of emergency in the occupied territories instead of going along with Biden-Harris, so that over time his chances of winning the elections again will increase.
