Why Lebanon will never become the second Gaza?/Study of three strategic factors

News Seal, Group International: Since a year ago, when the Zionist regime’s war against the Gaza Strip began, until now, the resistance groups, including the Lebanese Hezbollah, have stolen sleep from the eyes of the Zionist regime and the northern settlers of the occupied territories. During this period of time, many Zionist settlements in these border areas have been destroyed and their population displaced, and some reports estimate the number of Zionist refugees to be up to 200,000.

In recent days, however, the conflicts between Lebanon’s Hezbollah and the Zionist regime have intensified; The incident that peaked after the assassination of Hezbollah commanders and the explosion of communication equipment in Lebanon, and some believe that these tensions have the potential to turn into a full-scale war and warn against the continuation of conflicts.

As ​​Antonio Guterres said a few days ago in his speech at the 79th session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York, “Gaza is a nightmare.” It is impossible and Lebanon is on the verge of becoming another Gaza. The people of the world cannot tolerate Lebanon becoming another Gaza.”

There is no doubt that the crimes and genocides of the occupying regime in the Gaza Strip, which have so far resulted in the martyrdom of more than 41,000 innocent Palestinians, two-thirds of whom are women and children. , worried the people and authorities of the world to prevent similar incidents. However, Lebanon has significant differences from the Gaza Strip in many ways, which has caused it to impose the highest costs on the Zionist regime.

The Zionist regime under the heavy and continuous blows of Hezbollah

The Zionists have come to the conclusion that Hezbollah has a very effective role in what is happening on the Gaza battle front, on the supporting front, namely Iraq and Yemen, and even the Palestinian resistance. In addition, its continuous role in the northern front of the occupied territories in the serious occupation of the Zionist army, one of the most obvious of which is the widespread displacement of the residents of the northern region, as well as the occupation of one-third of the capacity of the occupying military forces in the north, has in itself severely affected the body of the regime. .

Also, as a result of the severe and continuous attacks by Hezbollah during this period, many businesses in the northern areas of the occupied territories have been practically out of business or profitable. For example, the central bank of the regime has announced the cost to the economy of northern occupied Palestine at 156 million dollars per week. In addition, the security cabinet of the regime was forced to close many fuel tanks and factories in this area and to keep medical centers on long-term standby for fear of resistance attacks.

In such a situation that is constantly deteriorating, the Zionist regime’s war cabinet has made the severe weakening of Hezbollah’s power its current strategy, in addition to the long-term weakening of Hezbollah through The assassination of its senior commanders and the destruction of the military facilities and power of this movement can restore security to its northern regions and return the fugitive and displaced settlers to their regions. In addition, it plans to establish a security belt in the south of Lebanon, take over the security control of these areas and control the security of its areas for a long time.

The recent terrorist acts and explosions of the regime in Lebanon can be evaluated in this regard. Therefore, in recent weeks, the assassinations of Hezbollah’s senior commanders and electronic and technological attacks, such as the pagers and wireless incidents, were part of the Zionist regime’s plan to show power and increase the level of tension with Hezbollah, and of course to test the resistance’s response rate.

“CNN” has recently considered this strategy as risky and has many shortcomings in a report and emphasized that “the lesson that NATO learned little by little in Afghanistan, here should be be taken into account; That killing endless commanders doesn’t destroy them, but leaves angrier successors to negotiate with.”

Strengthening deterrence with Hezbollah’s impressive military power

The most important reason why the Zionist regime has not entered into a full-scale war with Hezbollah and has resorted to launching missiles and terror is related to the remarkable military power of this resistance group.

Just a few days ago, in response to the open aggression of the Zionist regime, Lebanon’s Hezbollah fired hundreds of missiles, especially “Fadi 1” and “Fadi 2” missiles, into strategic areas such as Ramat David targeted the Rafael military complex, the Megiddo military airport, the Amos military base (the main transportation and logistical support base of the northern region), the Zakharon munitions factory, occupied Haifa, Acre, and even the center of occupied Palestine, namely Ben Gurion Airport. /p>

The officials of the Zionist regime know that if the range of aggression is not stopped, the Islamic resistance of Lebanon will add strategic centers and densely populated settlements of the regime to its bank of targets by relying on its new missiles. did.

Recently, the Zionist media “Haaretz” admitted that in one day, 220 rockets were fired from Lebanon towards the occupied territories, which is the biggest rocket attack since the beginning of the war. . At the same time, the Zionist media “Israel Hum” also announced that around 300 rockets were fired at the occupied territories since last night.

A part of the hell that Hezbollah created in the occupied territories can be seen in the pictures released from the city of Safad in the north of occupied Palestine.

Even when the Zionist army claimed to have targeted nearly 1,600 sites belonging to Hezbollah in Lebanon and 50% of Hezbollah’s missile power, including cruise missiles has destroyed short-range, medium-range and explosive drones, many military and security sources of the occupying regime admitted that these reports are exaggerated.

Tsvika Haimovich, the former commander of the air defense of this regime, is among the people who disagreed with the Israeli army’s claim of destroying 50 percent of Hezbollah’s missiles after a massive air attack on On Monday last week, Lebanon did not agree and stressed: No one knows what Hezbollah’s capabilities are and this movement has so far shown a little of its capabilities. What Israel witnessed in the last two days is not even close to what Hezbollah has in terms of capability and ability to do.

Earlier, Yaqub Omidor, the former head of the Internal Security Council of the Zionist regime, confirmed that this regime is not even close to destroying Hezbollah’s capabilities and added: Tel Aviv It is far, far away from defeating Hezbollah or destroying its capabilities.

Finally, the Zionist army also entered the pit and its spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, acknowledged that the Islamic resistance of Lebanon has various military powers, and in a conversation with reporters He added, “Hezbollah still has many military capabilities.”

Lebanon’s geopolitical and geostrategic position is different from Gaza

Those who complain about the Gazanization of Lebanon do not understand their territorial and geographical differences; Therefore, this issue should be looked at from a geopolitical and strategic point of view.

The Gaza Strip is a rectangular shape, 41 km long and 12 to 6 km wide, with a total area of ​​360 square kilometers and a population of 2.3 million. This Gaza region is bordered by the Zionist regime on both sides. From the coast, it is under the control of the Israeli navy. In the south, it has a border with Egypt, but in recent months, this border has been captured by the Zionists, so that Gaza is surrounded from four sides.

Contrary to 15 years of land, sea and air blockade of the Gaza Strip by the Zionist regime, which is an obstacle to The Palestinian resistance, including Hamas, was the way to gain power. Again, the Palestinian resistance gained such strength that even after a year of war, the Zionist regime has not achieved any of its declared goals, and its only achievement is killing and destruction.

In resistance Lebanon, in addition to the fact that Hezbollah has achieved significant military power without these restrictions, this country shares a common border with occupied Palestine for only 79 kilometers. while Lebanon’s common border with Syria is 375 kilometers; Two friendly and brotherly countries that have a single view on the occupation of the Zionist regime.

In addition to the different geographical location of Lebanon from Gaza, the Zionist regime today is facing a multitude of intertwined crises that do not allow for more adventures in Lebanon.

Issues such as the dissatisfaction of the Zionists with the continuation and escalation of the war, the increasing protests in the occupied territories, economic collapse, the speed of the wave of reverse migration, the increase of internal differences in the political organizations and The regime’s military, global threats and blame, etc. have caused the regime to behave more cautiously in the face of Hezbollah. This is why whispers of a ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and the Zionist regime have been heard in recent days, although it has been rejected by both sides.