3 attempts on Trump’s life; Why didn’t the fate of election contests change?

Mehr News Agency, International Group: In 2024 and at the same time as the beginning of the American presidential elections, several There was an unsuccessful attempt to assassinate “Donald Trump”, the candidate of the Republican Party and the former president of this country.

The first and most controversial of these events occurred during the election rally on the evening of July 13 in the city of “ButlerIt happened in the state of “Pennsylvania” in the United States. A 20-year-old man named “Thomas Matthew Crookes” from a distance of tens of meters from a semi-automatic rifle He himself fired several shots at Trump, one of which hit his ear and the other three shots hit the audience. During this incident, two people, including the shooter, were killed and two others were injured.

Next, on September 15, 2024, another attempt was made to assassinate Trump while playing golf at his International Golf Club in Florida. The attacker, who was hiding in the bushes, was identified by a security officer and arrested after trying to escape. This person wanted to shoot Trump, but was thwarted by the quick action of the Secret Service.

These incidents led to more security concerns for Trump and other 2024 presidential candidates, and more security measures were taken at his public events, including the use of bulletproof glass. In public speeches.

According to some reports, the third case of assassinations on October 23 was a few steps away from becoming operational; “Wm Miller” the man who recently outside Trump’s rally at his rally in “Kuchla” was arrested, accused of trying to kill Trump.

American media announced “w

According to the New York Post, Miller told the Southern California News Group a day after his arrest. who is “shocked” by the accusations against him. However, Chad Bianco, the Riverside Sheriff, stated that he “really” He thinks that his deputies prevented an attempt on Trump’s life from the third side. While Miller emphasized that he has never fired a gun in his entire life and keeps guns in his car to protect himself from death threats.

The heroization and popularity of Annie Trump

Although the last two attacks did not receive much attention from the media, but in the first attack, the bullet wounded Trump’s ear; The President of the United States stood next to the presidents who were victims of terror on the eve of the 2024 elections.

Of course, several American presidents such as “Gerald Ford”, “Theodore Roosevelt” and “Ronald Reagan” also survived the assassination attempts and became popular. For example, Reagan’s survival greatly increased his popularity and secured him a second term. Reagan won for the second time in the 1984 election with an unprecedented majority.

Now, a similar situation happened to Trump, and many compared him to the presidents who are on the assassinated list.

Thus, an assassination attempt on Trump in July 2024 had a significant impact on his popularity in the short term. Polls showed that after the incident, he benefited from popular sympathy, especially in key states such as Georgia and Virginia. For example, in Virginia, where Trump was behind Biden before the incident, the distance narrowed and a number of Democrats leaned towards Trump, and some even supported Trump. They paid.

All in all, the event helped improve Trump’s image as a “fighter,” especially when pictures of him bloodied and raising his fist were widely circulated after the incident. Shared by his supporters. This incident created more sympathetic feelings among his support base and further consolidated his vote base. However, at the same time, experts warned that this increase in popularity should not be seen as a long-term change because other factors will also influence the elections.

Popularity that faded with the passage of time and the choice of Harris

As ​​mentioned, the unsuccessful assassination of Trump strengthened the support base of the Republican candidate who has a serious record of financial and moral corruption, and especially his popularity among independents. increased, but still the voting community remained bipolar in general. This incident also created discussions about the increase in political violence in American elections.

Trump’s upper hand against Biden in the first debate was also more reason than his victory scenario to gain strength against the president based in America. After withdrawing Biden in favor of his deputy Kamala Harris, who did it under pressure from the leaders of the Democratic Party took, the equations changed completely.

Harris

‘s first debate with Trump turned out to be their last, and contrary to what the former president thought, This debate was associated with the success of Biden‘s vice president, so that Trump refused to accept the second debate for various reasons.

Harris with Biden, the former president’s chances of winning the election have decreased.

New polls show a close race between Harris and Trump within a few steps of the election, while According to many polls, Harris is several percentage points ahead of his Republican rival.

Newsweek recently wrote about this: While there are only three weeks left until the presidential election, Kamala Harris The Democratic candidate is ahead of the Republican rival Donald Trump in the “national” polls, but it is not possible to predict the victory of the two competitors in key states, due to their tight competition.

BC News poll and Ipsos” was also conducted with the participation of 1,714 possible voters in the same period of time and showed that Harris with 50% Compared to Trump, Ara leads the rival with 48% of the votes. This poll was conducted with a positive and negative margin of error of 2.5%.

The “Five Thirty Eight” Institute also summarized the polls conducted at the national level, Harris’s superiority against He declared Trump by 2.4%, or in other words, 48.5% against 46.1%.