The different fate of the Ukraine war in the possible government of “Harris” or “Trump”
Mehr News, International Group: Ukraine crisis as one of the biggest geopolitical challenges in the world in the last decade , a profound influence on American foreign policy and its relations with Europe, Russia and NATO.
After more than two and a half years, the war in Ukraine with the support of the administration of “Joe Biden The current US president continues from Kiev. The Biden government has pursued a policy based on actively confronting Russia’s influence in Eastern Europe by increasing military and financial aid to Ukraine and cooperating closely with NATO. This policy has continued especially with the sending of heavy weapons and political and intelligence support to Ukrainian forces, and its purpose is to weaken Russia’s position in the international scene; An issue that, of course, has not been realized in reality, and Russia has the upper hand both on the battlefield and in regional and international political-economic coalition building.
Now there are speculations and questions that if Kamala Harris wins, the candidate The Democratic Party and the current vice-president Biden or “Donald Trump”, the candidate of the Republican Party and the former president in the 2024 presidential election, how will the foreign policy of the United States change in relation to this crisis ?
This article tries to examine the possible differences between these two governments in facing the crisis in Ukraine.
Harris administration’s approach to the Ukraine crisis
In the big picture, Harris has by far less foreign policy experience than
span style=”text-a..”>Biden and other old politicians have shown a more moderate and diplomatic approach. He is likely to move in the direction of strengthening multilateral diplomacy and close cooperation with NATO and the European Union to manage the crisis in Ukraine through diplomatic tools and economic sanctions.
1. Continuation of aid to Ukraine with reliance on diplomacy
If Harris wins the upcoming elections, military aid to Ukraine is expected to continue. but he may put more emphasis on using diplomacy and negotiations to avoid direct conflict with Russia.
Hill news base on the eve of the election, a report on the positions of the American election candidates The Ukraine crisis published a report and wrote about the approach of the Democratic Party candidate in this field, Kamala Harris since the Russian attack in February 2022, completely from the position of the president Biden has strongly defended Ukraine. Besides, he also said before his September meeting with Zelensky: My support for the people of Ukraine is firm.
Harris added: I am proud to stand by Ukraine. I continue to stand with Ukraine. I will work to ensure that Ukraine wins this war.
According to this report, Harris claimed that if Putin wins in Ukraine, he will More European countries will attack. He even stated in an interview with the CBS “60 Minutes” program earlier this month that he would not meet and negotiate with Putin without Ukraine in terms of ending the war.
2. Cooperation with NATO and the European Union
Harris is likely to increase cooperation with NATO and the European Union and try Form an international coalition to counter Russian influence. From his point of view, coordination with European countries can be effective in controlling the crisis in Ukraine and reducing US military and economic costs.
3. Continuation of sanctions and economic pressure on Russia
It seems that Harris is also from sanctions policies Biden will support Russia and will try to put economic pressure on this country; Sanctions that, contrary to Western propaganda and propaganda, have not had much impact on Russia’s domestic economy and Moscow’s role in regional and international equations.
The possible approach of the Trump administration to the Ukraine crisis
1. High possibility of reducing military aid to Ukraine
Trump may cut military aid to Ukraine and try to ease financial pressure on the United States. He is likely to seek direct diplomatic deals with Russia and is reluctant to continue massive military aid unless there is a direct threat to the United States.
2. Financial pressure on NATO members and weakening of this alliance against Russia
If Trump wins, he will probably again demand a reduction in the US budget for NATO and will ask European countries to play a greater role in securing Ukraine. This approach can weaken the alliance of Western countries against Russia and create a gap in the common front against Russia.
3. The possibility of direct negotiations with Putin and alternative diplomatic routes
During the first term of his presidency, Trump has shown in practice that he is willing to resolve differences through “personal diplomacy” with some world leaders, such as the visit His history with “Kim Jung Un was the young leader of North Korea In his possible future administration, Trump will probably seek a direct agreement with Russian President Vladimir Putin to find a solution to end the crisis. These agreements can include the reduction of sanctions or other restrictions against Russia, which can encourage Russia to reduce tensions.
News base “Hill” in this Barre wrote that Trump has promised to end the war in Ukraine if he wins the election, before taking office in the White House in January. He did not provide many details about how this would be done, but noted that his friendly relationship with Putin could help achieve this goal.
The report says: Trump’s critics are concerned that any agreement to immediately end the war is likely to include ceding parts of Ukraine to Russia; At the same time, it will close the doors of Ukraine joining NATO, which is considered a red line for Moscow.
For this basis, the former president of the United States has sometimes severely criticized Ukraine and often Volodymyr Zelensky has described Ukrainian President as a ruthless salesman who obtained billions of dollars in security aid from Washington. He should never have allowed that war to start, Trump said in an interview with the PBD podcast. That war was a loss.
The completion of the word
The Ukraine crisis has been one of the most complex challenges of American foreign policy in recent years, and the possible administrations Harris and Trump each have a different approach to it.
Harris With a multilateral policy and support for NATO, he will probably try to use diplomatic power and America’s economy will be used to confront Russia, and in other words, it will follow Biden‘s path in this field. On the other hand, Trump may seek a quick end to the crisis by focusing on reducing military spending and negotiating directly with Putin.
According to the news site “Hill” as a source close to the US Congress, Trump and Harris have strong differences of opinion on how to deal with the Ukraine issue. Harris has promised to continue strong support for Kiev and engagement with allies, while Trump has adopted an isolationist approach Talabaneh has mentioned.
In any case, we should wait for the time of the American presidential elections; The election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 (November 15, 1403), and the winner of this election will start the four-year term of the presidency from January 2025.
