America’s fateful day has arrived; The possibility of rebellion and civil war

Mehr News, International Group: Finally, after months of election campaigns, today Tuesday, November 5 (15 Aban) The time for holding the US presidential election has arrived and the people of this country The country has to choose between “Kamala Harris” the candidate of the Democratic spectrum and “Donald Trump” the representative of the Republican Party The ballot boxes are coming to determine the role of the tenant of the White House for the next four years.

In the meantime, some serious concerns from the people and authorities of this country are clearly visible; Concerns that are directly related to the previous elections and internal riots in America, which were incited by Trump personally at that time.

Concern of a repeat of the January 6 riots in case of Trump’s defeat

Although the winner of the US presidential election is usually analyzedstyle=”text-a..”>by the mainstream media, it will be announced, but the probability that Trump will unusually declare an early victory is very high.

One ​​of the senior officials of the Harris election campaign said this during a press conference with reporters on the eve of the election. It is fully expected that Trump will declare victory on the day of the vote, before all votes are counted. Trump has already done this before his defeat.

He is referring to the events after the 2020 American elections. At that time, Trump declared himself the winner in the early hours of the morning after election day and three days before the initial announcement of the winner of the competition by television networks.

Subsequently, on January 6, 2021, a group of Trump supporters attacked the US Congress in protest against the confirmation of the results of the 2020 presidential election, and some were able to enter the building. . During these protests, American lawmakers fled and five people, including a police officer, were killed during this riot.

Expressing concern in the current election is not unrelated to Trump’s current positions. He announced to reporters this week that he hopes to be able to declare victory on election day, but election experts have warned that the counting of votes It may take several days, especially if there are requests to recount votes in some key states.

In addition to the concern of early victory declaration, on the issue of Trump not accepting the results in case of defeat from Harris also has a consensus; This consensus exists both in the rival spectrum (Democrat) and in the Republican spectrum that supports Trump.

A few days ago when “Kaitlan Collins” hosted a program on the American CNN network He asked “John Bolton”, the former national security adviser of the United States during Trump’s presidency, if he thinks that Trump will have an outcome that is not in his favor. accepts Or not, Bolton replied: No, I don’t think so.

Bolton stated that if Trump does not win the US presidential election, “everyone should be ready because Trump never loses.”

On the other hand, the majority of participants in the survey previously conducted by CNN They predicted that Trump probably won’t accept the results of the US presidential election if he loses. The poll found that 69 percent of registered voters across the country said they think Trump does not accept the election results.

These concerns became more serious when Trump, a few days before the election, claimed widespread fraud in Pennsylvania as one of the battleground states. did.

The Hill news-analytical database belonging to the US Congress called Trump’s statement “rhetorical the candidate of the republican party in the heat of the fear and panic of critics about the possibility of challenging the election results by Trump” and added: the former president after the defeat in the 2020 elections, the claims of falsely about massive fraud that led to the January 6, 2021 riot on the Capitol.

Democrats’ concern and at the same time readiness to face possible scenarios

At the same time as they are concerned about Trump’s possible defeat in the elections, the Democrats are trying to take measures to prevent this from happening. According to Reuters, if Trump tries to claim an early victory like in 2020, campaign officials Harris and the Democratic Party are ready to respond quickly to the media deluge by calling for calm and patience on the count votes are.

On the other hand, Harris as the candidate of the Democratic Party in an interview with the TV channel ABC News emphasized that Trump can do anything to challenge the election result and noted that his legal team is ready to react to any action by Trump.

Harris also added: “We are prepared, unfortunately, if he (Trump) does this and the press and the consensus

style=”text-a..”> to manipulate the American people, react.

Although he did not provide further explanation in this regard, six Democratic Party officials and his campaign announced that the first way to deal with any claim of Trump’s early victory is in the court of public opinion. will be A senior official of the Democratic National Committee also said in the same context: “As soon as he (Trump) falsely declares victory, we are ready to present the truth on television and from the wide network they can use their influence to back to drive to use, to use.”

Possibility of political violence and civil war

There is a possibility of riots and unrest in the event of Trump’s defeat in the elections, because in the last few years, the American society has been severely polarized and Trump’s supporters and his opponents have been deeply separated.

In this connection, the analytical news site “Vox” (Vox) as well as emphasis on the occurrence of political violence, wrote that even “Lisa Monaco” deputy prosecutor total warning data: It could be worse. The United States is facing an unprecedented level of violent threats against government officials.

Based on this analysis, a Department of Homeland Security (DHS) bulletin of increased risks caused by extremists and even suggested “trying to start a civil war”.

The report states: In any case, when the leaders of the Republican Party doubt and doubt about They publish the accuracy of the elections as if they are secretly planning to ensure the second term of Trump’s presidency. For this reason it is possible that the current security preparations are not enough to suppress the violent actions of domestic extremists.

From the point of view of observers, however, the possibility that the riots will continue widely and lead to civil war depends on several factors:

1. The reaction of extreme supporters of Trump

Trump supporters have among themselves small groups of armed and extremists who may react to his claims about election fraud. If Trump does not accept his defeat and continues to promote the idea of ​​”fraud”, these groups may be accompanied by demonstrations and violent protests.

2. The role of media and social networks

Media and social networks play a very important role in intensifying or controlling protests in the post American election environment. have Trump and his supporters are very active in these platforms and can intensify or control unrest with their statements. Depending on the type of reaction of social networks and preventing the spread of false news or fueling extremist thoughts, the severity of the protests can be reduced.

American analytical news website “Vox” in this Bare wrote: “Elon Musk”, the billionaire supporter of Trump, has launched a platform on his social media X (Twitter former) so that users Possible frauds in voting or Share the irregularities they see while voting in the 2024 election.

According to Vox, these tactics are working because according to polls, about a quarter of Republicans say They think that if Trump loses, he should do whatever it takes to be president anyway. This may include recourse to violence.

This report added: All these issues caused law enforcement and security authorities to be on alert due to the possibility of political violence in the days before and after the elections. “text-a..”>Be aligned.

3. Determining role of American courts and laws