Will “Trump” solve the Ukraine crisis in 24 hours?

Mehr News Agency, International Group: “Donald Trump” in the atmosphere of the election competition during his speeches It happened that if he had become president instead of “Joe Biden” in the previous term, the conflict in Ukraine would never have started, and he emphasized that if he wins the election again, It will end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in just 24 hours.

Now that Trump has won over Kamala Harris, his Democratic rival, and on January 20 After taking the oath, he will enter the White House, it remains to be seen whether he will fulfill his other promises such as ending the war in Ukraine or not.

Signs of Trump’s team turning away from Ukraine

After Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, Ukrainian concerns about the possibility of Washington not supporting Kiev in the war with Russia have increased.

Experts say that US support for Ukraine will definitely change under the Trump administration, which is not unrelated to the clear positions of the president-elect and his entourage.

At the end of October, during his appearance on the “PBD” podcast, in a very different comment, Trump pointed the arrow of accusation towards “Volodymyr Zelensky” pointed out the President of Ukraine and emphasized that Zelensky He should have taken measures to prevent the start of a war with Moscow and is responsible for the occurrence of this war.

“Dmitry Medovev” Vice Chairman of the National Security Council of Russia to Trump for his confession about With the responsibility of Zelensky, he praised the war between Moscow and Kiev and said: Trump is the first former president and presidential candidate of the United States who admitted Zelensky is directly responsible for the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

Threat and ridicule Zelensky by Donald Trump Junior” Trump’s eldest son these days has also exhausted the justification for Zelensky and his European supporters. By publishing a message on social networks, he threatened and mocked Zelensky and said that the President of Ukraine may soon lose his “pension”.

Trump after his victory against Harris, in the position of president-elect with “Elon Musk, the American billionaire, had a phone conversation with Zelensky a few days ago (November 18) that It shows the efforts of Trump and his allies for a ceasefire between Kiev and Moscow.

The newspaper “Washington Post” wrote in this about that this phone call and the presence of Mask in It is a part of Trump’s thinking about the Russia-Ukraine war and how he tried to negotiate between Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin in the first weeks of his inauguration. It shows the Trump administration.

In the call, Musk reportedly told Zelensky that he would allow Ukraine to use satellites. Starlink he uses to access the Internet. These satellite internets have been crucial to Ukraine’s battle against Russia, and Musk’s promise that Ukraine will continue to have access to them shows that the Trump administration is not looking to cut off all military, financial and technical aid to Ukraine.

Musk has also had several conversations with Putin, which shows that his presence in the phone call is not a one-time event and Musk can play an important role in facilitating negotiations between the two sides. .

This American billionaire, who openly supported Trump in the US presidential election campaign and played a significant role in his victory, wrote on his user account on X social network: The bloodshed in Ukraine will end soon.

Dimensions of the Trump team’s desired peace plan

Although Trump has not officially presented the details of his solution to end the war in Ukraine, the dimensions of this peace plan are trickled into the media by his advisors.

The American publication “Newsweek” has recently written, citing the reports received from Trump’s advisors team, that this country’s plan to end the war will not include the deployment of military forces. .

According to this American publication, Trump’s advisers have explained that the plan would block the current front line and prevent Ukraine from any ambitions to join NATO for at least two decades. abandons it, while the United States also provides weapons to Kiev.

Contrary to some speculations about military aid and sending troops to Ukraine, Wall Street newspaper “Journal” quoted a member of Trump’s team and reported that America will not only send any troops to Ukraine, but also will not pay for the implementation of this plan.

Also, two of Trump’s former advisers wrote in an article about the policies of the Trump administration that the United States should continue supplying weapons to Ukraine, but this make the support conditional on Kiev’s entry into peace negotiations with Russia.

These advisers said that Ukraine should not lose hope of regaining its territory from Russian occupation, but should negotiate on the basis of the current front lines.

What is Putin’s view on this matter?

Experts believe that US support for Ukraine will definitely decrease in the Trump administration, and since the relationship between Trump and Putin is special, we should wait for unexpected events. It was a prediction.

Putin also announced conditions for a peaceful resolution of the conflict in Ukraine in June of this year and emphasized that immediately after the withdrawal of Ukrainian military forces from the territories belonging to Russia, Moscow will be ready for a ceasefire and negotiations.

He noted that in addition to the withdrawal of troops, Kiev should officially announce its withdrawal from joining NATO and should not have plans for militarization.

While stating his conditions, the President of Russia emphasized that Ukraine should also accept a neutral and nuclear-weapon-free status. In the meantime, he also considered one of his conditions for the ceasefire to be the cancellation of all sanctions against Zadrosi.

It is recalled that after the attack of the armed forces of Ukraine on the region of Kursk, Putin negotiated with those who attack civilians and civilian infrastructure or want to create a threat to nuclear energy facilities, called it completely impossible.

The “Guardian” newspaper report on the type of interaction between Trump and Putin: the first test of Trump’s “transactional” policy will be on Ukraine. His deputy described one of the possible scenarios as follows: Trump will sit down with the Russians, Ukrainians and Europeans and tell them to find a peace agreement on their own.

According to the statements of “J. D. Vance Trump’s vice president, Ukraine will remain an independent country, but Russia will get a “guarantee of neutrality” from Ukraine and Ukraine will not join NATO.style=”text-a..”>

Of course, “Richard O’Brien” who is one of the main candidates for the post of Trump’s National Security Advisor In an article for Foreign Afroz, it was stated that Trump supports Ukraine. Provided that Europe spends more.

Conclusion

Although there are signs of determination in Trump’s team to reduce support for Ukraine and end it, mostly due to the US’s recovery from self-inflicted crises in order to focus on competition. It is with China, it is visible, but we cannot expect a quick solution to the biggest crisis in the world, which has been going on for more than two and a half years.

At the same time, America is not the only decision-maker in this field, and the role of European allies of this country in the beginning and deepening of the crisis in Ukraine cannot be ignored. “Joseph Borrell” as the head of the foreign policy of the European Union, visited Kiev a few days ago (November 19) for the fifth and last time in this capacity and in a joint press conference. With “Andrei Sibiha” the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine emphasized that the European Union’s support for Ukraine will remain “unshakable” in the shadow of Russia’s continued attacks.

Borrell said he wants the EU to increase “military support for Ukraine” amid Uncertainty about Trump’s plans continues. He also confirmed that the European Union is preparing the 15th package of sanctions against Russia.

At the same time, the Biden government also, as part of its latest aid package, air defense systems It will supply “Patriot” and “Nasams” to Ukraine. Earlier it was revealed that Washington will send $6 billion in military aid to Kiev before Trump comes to power.

Therefore, in this environment, the aid of the Biden government and the European Union in the next two months to The war will become more complicated and will probably change the battle equations in the field, as the President of the Czech Republic, “Peter Pavel” has recently emphasized, the expectation of the fulfillment of Trump’s election promise to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours seems unrealistic and far-fetched.