Examining Ankara’s abuse of the situation in Syria and the horizons of solving the upcoming crisis

Mehr News Agency, group International, Elnaz Rahmatnejad: from Wednesday morning Last week, at the same time as the start of the ceasefire between Lebanon’s Hezbollah and the Zionist regime, the terrorist group Tahrir al-Sham began a large-scale operation under the name of preemptive operation to seize parts of Aleppo and Idlib. which led to the reaction of the Syrian army and the arrival of the Russian air forces stationed in this country to confront them.

On the pretext of taking a look at the recent developments in Syria, we had a conversation with international experts, Ali Samadzadeh, Alireza Taghavinia, Mohammad Bayat, Alireza Majidi and Jafar Qanadbashi.

In this conversation, the main reasons for the rapid advance of the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group in northern Syria, the threats and dangers of this group dominating northern Syria and the role of Syria’s supporters, including Iran and Russia, in the current situation were discussed, which was explained. /strong> It follows the report:

Türkiye took full advantage of the withdrawal of the concentration of Syrian allies

Ali Samadzadeh stated that the rapid advance of the terrorist group in northern Syria originates from several important main factors in the region, and said: The first factor is that each of the allies Syria is involved in separate and important cases. A significant part of Russian concentration is spent on the Ukrainian front. So that they transferred part of the facilities and talents they had in Syria to Russia. For this reason, the level of Russian presence in Syria decreased.

He added: The Islamic Republic of Iran has been indirectly involved in the war with the Zionist regime in Gaza and Lebanon for the past 15 months, and the focus has been removed from northern Syria and focused on the Palestinian and Lebanese fronts.

Samadzadeh continued his words: Due to the tensions in the region, the level of American presence in their bases in Syria, Iraq and Kuwait had increased. Because the Americans are considered a high-level threat in terms of security and military in the region, part of the focus of the resistance was investigating and evaluating the movements of the Americans in the region and clashes with the American forces in one year and Andy has been in the area in the past.

According to this expert on international issues, the mistake in drawing the defense lines of the areas under the control of the Takfiris with the areas under the control of the central government of Syria is the second reason for the rapid advance of the terrorist group Tahrir al-Sham is in northern Syria. This mistake was very damaging for the Syrians. It was believed that the defense lines of the Syrian army were designed very strongly, not in one line, but in several lines, so that if an attack and violation of the covenant by the terrorist group happened, the defense lines could stop their movements. For the advances, a strong support and logistics line should have been created, which unfortunately has been neglected.

Samadzadeh pointed to the third factor of the advance of the mentioned terrorists and stated: Turkey made maximum use of the removal of the concentration of the Syrian allies to organize and resolve the dispute and create a significant offensive power of the Takfiri side in the region.

He added: The Islamic Republic of Iran is engaged in rebuilding the operational capacity of Lebanon’s Hezbollah after an intense war with the Zionist regime. The Turks used this conflict as a golden opportunity, knowing that this capacity is being restored and focusing on the south of Syria for the axis of resistance. They were very careful in choosing the time and used a lot of capacity in order to achieve some of the strategic goals that they had not achieved despite the 13 years of war in Syria.

According to him, during the past months, Ukrainian advisers have been in northern Syria to train part of the Takfiri forces to use the technology of small and light drones and suicide drones were present, some of which have been used in the advance of recent days.

This expert considered international influence and betrayal in parts of the political and military structure of Syria as the fourth factor in the advance of terrorist groups in recent days and said: It made the terrorists have access to the internal information of the departments that were in charge of the Syrian defense lines. These four factors caused a strategic neglect to happen and the Syrian front was in a state of disorder and lack of preparation, which they are preparing to compensate.

Samadzadeh said: The domination of this terrorist group in northern Syria will bring security and military challenges for the entire region, i.e. Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and even the Turks. Because the geography that will be available to them is an important geography. A significant part of this geography will become a significant capacity to create bigger challenges. Consequences such as forced migration, genocide and crimes against humanity will be borne. According to the crossings that will be available to them, the smuggling of weapons, people and drugs will be secondary effects.

He added: Based on the defense agreements that exist between the allied countries with Syria, it is expected from the supporters of Syria that advisory action will take place at a higher level and we will see operational and intelligence support from the Syrian government.

The tripartite platform of Iran, Russia and Turkey should be activated to get rigid commitments from America

Mohammed Bayat pointed to the rapid progress of the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group in northern Syria and said: 13 years have passed since the internal crisis in Syria and the country’s economy has not been able to recover. . Also, the army of this country is not properly organized. For this reason, the commanders of the army and ground forces do not have enough morale to resist the attack of the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group, which is armed to the teeth.

He added: The war of the Zionist regime and the axis of resistance, which has been going on in Lebanon and Gaza, and now its scope has been extended to Syria and Yemen. , involved a large part of the talents of the resistance axis, and the Hezbollah bases that existed in the south of Idlib were almost evacuated and added to the Lebanese front. Also, Russia has transferred a large part of its air talent and defense system to the war front with Ukraine.

According to Bayat, due to the fact that a large part of the Iranian and Russian forces are concentrated on the fronts of the Zionist regime and Ukraine, in the last 48 hours, many strikes have been carried out, including the assassination of Mohammad Al-Jolani to the terrorist groups Tahrir Al-Sham. The Russians hit the terrorists with a trench bomb. Organizing the resistance forces according to the security conditions is being done and redefined. The books of Imam Ali (AS) were sent from Iraq to the Syrian front. The resistance is trying to return the balance of power.

This expert raised international issues: if the terrorist group dominates the north of Syria, this dominance is due to the need geopolitical is Turkey. The Turks don’t want to see even a semi-independent Kurdish government in this region. They consider this against their national interests.

Bayat continued his speech and said: the international roads to the east of the Mediterranean to the ports of Latakia. /span> and Tartus end. Whoever can master these transportation roads can play a serious role in the economic relations of that region and the relations between the Persian Gulf countries and the European Union.

According to Bayat, Iran and Russia support their ally in Damascus. Corridor of communication between Iraq, Syria and Lebanon for arming Hezbollah must be maintained. Iran must be present near the borders of the occupied Golan in order to use this geopolitical advantage. It is also important for the Russians to have an important base like Syria in the geostrategic competition they have with the United States on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean, which is a communication line between the Eurasian region, the Middle East, Europe East and North Africa. The Russians do not want to lose this base.

This expert on international international issues said: If we want to raise the level of demand of public opinion and demand the complete cleansing of Idlib, it is too early because not It is possible from the side of Syria and its allies, and not basically Turkey will allow this to happen at that moment. The result of clearing Idlib is that one or two million people will become refugees in Türkiye and the problems of the Turks will increase.

He added: The tripartite platform of Iran, Russia and Türkiye should be activated so that we can get strict commitments from America so that they do not start new adventures again. Iran is involved in the Zionist regime and Russia is involved in Ukraine. Idlib is not the main front and it causes the military forces to lose their talent.

Iran’s sudden demand for military operations comes from not knowing the necessity of a military operation

Jafar Qanad Bashi said: The rapid advance of the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group is due to the planning they had done in advance. According to this plan, the necessary equipment was provided to them and they received the necessary training.

He added: The government and the Syrian army and the forces stationed there were not ready to face the operations of the terrorist group. Part of this lack of preparation is due to the busyness of the borders of Lebanon and the refugees coming from there to Syria. The rapid demand for military operations is due to the lack of recognition of the necessity of a military operation. Naturally, a complex military operation requires planning and monitoring. Neutralizing the obstacles on the way of the operation should be done by investigating and recognizing the new positions of the terrorist groups. Russia and Iran have stepped in to support Syria. The necessary equipment has been provided to them.

This international affairs expert added: The terrorist group’s domination over northern Syria means creating a place of tension and undermining the territorial integrity of Syria. These groups are affiliated with foreign countries. They receive their help. They can provide the basis for various disturbances. They can cause dissatisfaction of the people who are under occupation. The people of northern Syria want the Syrian government and its allies to end their evil actions. These groups do not only operate in the military dimension, they also have ideological and ethnic positions that strengthen the divisions.

Gandabashi emphasized: Syria’s security means the security of the region; If the security of Syria is damaged, all the countries in the region will be in some kind of tension. The continuation of these tensions means an opportunity for the groups against the security of the region. An opportunity for Americans whose forces are present in Syria. An opportunity available to Arab countries that want to attack the region. An opportunity for the Zionists to reduce the power of resistance. Supporters of Syria should help suppress the Tahrir al-Sham group and liberate the occupied areas.

Iran and Russia put pressure on Turkey to control the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group

Alireza Taghavinia said: According to the Astana agreement, which was an agreement between Iran, Russia and Turkey, Turkey became a guarantor of the non-violation of the ceasefire by terrorists, and Iran and Russia became guarantors of Syria. No one thought that the Tahrir al-Sham terrorist group would carry out an operation with the support of Türkiye. That’s why their operation was surprising and they used a lot of talent. Many forces were used to attack the areas of Aleppo.

He added: “In the event that we witnessed the advance of terrorists in northern Syria, most of the Russian air forces left Syria and were transferred to Ukraine for the war.” For this reason, the air support from the city of Aleppo was low and this surprise attack was effective.

According to Taghavinia, Iran and Russia have spared no effort to suppress terrorists. In the last two days, Russia bombed the headquarters of the terrorist group Tahrir Al-Sham.

This expert raised international issues: if this terrorist group dominates northern Syria, it can recruit more members. They will expand their occupied areas and move to other areas, including east of the Euphrates and south of the Euphrates, which is a danger. They will come from this region to countries like Iraq and Iran. If they come to Homs, they can close the route from Syria to Lebanon.

He added: Syria’s supporters should act as soon as possible and prevent the formation of this cancerous tumor. To remind the world about the danger of terrorist groups. Iran and Russia should put pressure on the Turkish government to control and manage this group and seriously mobilize forces to suppress the terrorists.

According to Taghavinia, Tahrir terrorist group Al-Sham is dangerous. Its members are takfiris and consider everyone other than themselves to be infidels. They must be dealt with seriously. Idlib should be purged of their presence. Their presence in Idlib for several years has made them able to renew their strength and attack Aleppo.

The stopping and retreat of terrorists in Hama is the result of the presence of Syrian supporters

Alireza Majidi said: The resistance was present in three places in Syria, one of which was the southwest of Aleppo. Hezbollah had 17 centers in these places. When the Zionist regime attacked southern Lebanon, a vacuum was created and these forces were transferred to southern Lebanon. Of course, this vacuum should have been filled in another way, not through the transfer of resistance forces.

He added: The economic crisis that Syria has suffered has caused a part of the Syrian army to lose the motivation to fight.

According to him, with the actions of Syrian supporters of terroristsstyle=”background-color:#ffffff”>s not only in North Hama they stopped but retreated from some of the areas they had occupied.

This expert raised the issues between the international: As long as terrorists If they do not reach Homs, the path of providing logistics for Hezbollah and the resistance will continue.

Majidi said: If the terrorist group dominates the north of Syria, we will witness instability and political pressure in addition to the economic crisis. From 2017 onwards we have seen stability of deployment which will disappear. Also, in the south of Syria, the armed elements of the opposition will start a rebellion.