Red Sea ceasefire and Tel Aviv deadlock between Sanaa calculations and Trump priorities
Ceasefire Between Washington and Sanaa Does Not Mean the End of Confrontation, But a Reordering of Priorities. sanaa Continues Its Strategy Based on Supporting Palestine.
Mehr News Agency, International group: Iraqi political analyst and activist “Najah Muhammad Ali” has sent an exclusive note titled “The red Sea Ceasefire and Tel Aviv’s Deadlock Between Sanaa’s Calculations and Trump’s Priorities” to mehr News Agency’s International Group. The full text follows:
On May 7, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that—through Omani mediation—an agreement for a ceasefire with the Sanaa government had been reached, aimed at securing navigation in the Red Sea. While this agreement halted U.S. attacks on targets in Yemen in exchange for no targeting of American ships, Sanaa explicitly stated, and Trump confirmed, that the deal does not include the occupying regime (Israel), meaning operations against vessels linked to it will continue.
This growth reveals features of a new regional landscape where U.S. priorities under Trump are being rewritten,confirming that control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait today lies not with Washington or its allies but with a resistance imposing its terms from a position of strength.
The agreement between Sanaa and Washington does not signify an American retreat from supporting the occupying regime but reflects the Trump management’s desire to reduce military engagement in Yemen and achieve relative stability in a critical maritime passage repeatedly disrupted as Operation “Al-Aqsa Storm.” The decision to halt direct confrontation with Sanaa demonstrates pragmatism driven primarily by U.S. interests—irrespective of absolute commitments to regional allies, even if that ally is Israel.
The Red Sea: Militarization of a Vital Passage & Counterproductive Outcomes
Operation “Guardian Prosperity,” launched by Washington in late 2023 under claims of protecting ships from Sanaa’s attacks backfired; Western military intervention escalated tensions instead—forcing over 18 shipping companies to reroute via South Africa’s Cape of Good Hope (raising global trade costs). In contrast, recent de-escalation has allowed cautious resumption for non-Israeli-linked vessels while strikes persist against Zionist-regime-affiliated ships.
Symbolic Escalation
As late 2023, Sanaa has sustained drone/ballistic missile attacks deep into occupied territories (e.g.,Jaffa/Eilat/repeated Ben Gurion Airport strikes). Though numerically fewer than claimed (“thousands”),their psychological impact is undeniable: millions forced into shelters; economic/security systems disrupted—highlighting strategic deterrence failure by Israel against resistance forces.
Precision strikes near Ben Gurion Airport (without damaging infrastructure) underscored technical/intelligence capabilities while avoiding settler casualties—delivering measured warnings: Dimona reactor/airports/all critical infrastructure remain within Yemeni crosshairs if decisive retaliation escalates further.
Conditional Commitment
Despite ongoing U.S.-Israeli military ties post-ceasefire silence raises questions about implicit disengagement realities balance support versus avoiding entanglement risks amid election-year domestic pressures.
path Toward Escalation?
Despite Anglo-American bombings targeting military sites across Yemen retain advanced ballistic/hypersonic missiles like “Palestine-2” used recently against Ben Gurion Airport resilience distinguishes Ansarullah among resistance movements despite operating amid state collapse centered around Aden externally imposed blockades fail curb indigenous arms development proving rapid technological adaptation capacities without foreign aid despite Tehran’s willingness constraints blockade renders impractical supply routes effectively severed years ago already making case self-sufficiency under siege conditions unparalleled regionally speaking thus far…
Media Discourse & Arab Polarization Social media labels like “Arab Zionists” critique normalization supporters oversimplify complex regional dynamics where some Arab regimes align anti-resistance others cautiously distance balancing narratives essential avoid emotional generalizations…
fragile Calm New Equations Ceasefire signals priority reshuffling not conflict endgame trump chooses de-escalate protect commercial interests without overcommitting Israeli basket meanwhile sanaas palestine-centric strategy persists aware challenges ahead escalation risks remain open especially if israel retaliates directly washington seeks amend terms key question whether broader american withdrawal prelude tactical pause before renewed confrontations answers depend coming days developments…
