Red Sea ceasefire and Tel Aviv deadlock between Sanaa calculations and Trump priorities

Ceasefire Between Washington and Sanaa‍ Does Not ⁣Mean the End of ‌Confrontation, But a Reordering of Priorities. sanaa Continues Its Strategy Based on ⁤Supporting Palestine.

Mehr News Agency, International group: Iraqi political analyst and activist “Najah Muhammad Ali”⁤ has sent an exclusive note‌ titled ​ “The red Sea Ceasefire and Tel Aviv’s Deadlock Between Sanaa’s Calculations ‍and Trump’s Priorities” to mehr⁢ News Agency’s International Group. The full text⁢ follows: ⁤

On‍ May 7, 2025, U.S.​ President Donald Trump announced that—through Omani mediation—an agreement ⁣for a ceasefire with the Sanaa government had been reached, aimed at securing navigation in the Red Sea. While this agreement halted U.S. attacks on​ targets in Yemen in exchange for ⁤no targeting of American ships, ⁤ Sanaa explicitly stated, ⁤and Trump confirmed, that the‍ deal does not include the‍ occupying regime (Israel), meaning operations against vessels⁤ linked to it will continue.

This growth reveals ‍features of a new regional landscape where U.S. priorities ‍under Trump are being rewritten,confirming that control over the Bab ​el-Mandeb Strait today‍ lies not with Washington⁤ or its allies but with a‍ resistance imposing ⁣its terms from ⁢a position of strength. ⁢

The agreement between Sanaa and Washington does not ​signify an American retreat from supporting the occupying regime but reflects the Trump management’s desire to ⁣reduce military engagement ​in Yemen and achieve relative stability in a critical‌ maritime passage repeatedly disrupted as Operation “Al-Aqsa Storm.” The ​decision to halt ‌direct ‍confrontation with Sanaa‍ demonstrates pragmatism driven primarily by U.S. interests—irrespective of absolute commitments to regional allies, ⁤even ⁤if that ally is Israel.

The Red Sea: Militarization⁢ of a Vital ⁢Passage &⁣ Counterproductive Outcomes‍

Operation “Guardian Prosperity,” launched by Washington in late 2023 ⁤under claims of⁣ protecting ships from Sanaa’s attacks backfired; Western military intervention escalated tensions instead—forcing over 18 shipping companies to reroute via South Africa’s Cape of Good ‍Hope (raising global ‌trade costs). In contrast, recent de-escalation has allowed cautious resumption for non-Israeli-linked ​vessels⁤ while strikes persist against⁢ Zionist-regime-affiliated ships.

Symbolic Escalation ‌

As late 2023, Sanaa has sustained‌ drone/ballistic missile attacks deep​ into⁣ occupied territories (e.g.,Jaffa/Eilat/repeated Ben Gurion Airport strikes). Though numerically fewer⁣ than claimed (“thousands”),their psychological impact is undeniable: millions forced into shelters; economic/security systems ⁢disrupted—highlighting ​strategic⁢ deterrence failure by Israel against resistance forces.

Precision strikes near Ben Gurion Airport (without damaging ‌infrastructure) underscored⁤ technical/intelligence capabilities while avoiding settler casualties—delivering measured warnings: Dimona‍ reactor/airports/all critical⁢ infrastructure‌ remain within Yemeni crosshairs if ‍decisive ‍retaliation escalates further.

Conditional Commitment

Despite ongoing U.S.-Israeli military ties ‌post-ceasefire silence raises questions about ⁢implicit disengagement realities balance support versus avoiding entanglement risks amid election-year domestic pressures.

path Toward Escalation?

Despite Anglo-American bombings targeting military sites across⁤ Yemen retain advanced ballistic/hypersonic ⁤missiles like “Palestine-2” used recently against Ben Gurion ⁣Airport resilience distinguishes Ansarullah ⁤among resistance movements despite operating amid state⁢ collapse centered around Aden externally imposed‌ blockades ⁢fail curb⁤ indigenous ⁢arms development ⁢proving rapid technological ‍adaptation capacities without foreign aid despite ‍Tehran’s willingness constraints blockade renders ⁤impractical ⁤supply ⁢routes effectively severed years ago already making case ‌self-sufficiency under‍ siege conditions unparalleled regionally speaking thus far…

Media Discourse & Arab Polarization Social media labels like “Arab⁣ Zionists” critique normalization supporters oversimplify complex regional dynamics where⁢ some Arab regimes align ​anti-resistance others cautiously distance⁤ balancing narratives essential avoid emotional generalizations…

fragile⁢ Calm New Equations ‍Ceasefire ⁣signals priority reshuffling ‌not conflict endgame ⁣trump chooses‌ de-escalate protect ​commercial interests without overcommitting Israeli basket meanwhile sanaas palestine-centric strategy persists aware challenges ahead escalation risks remain open especially if‌ israel retaliates directly washington seeks amend terms⁣ key question ​whether broader american withdrawal prelude tactical pause before renewed confrontations answers depend coming days ⁤developments…