Ankara and Tel Aviv Clash Amid Syrian Chaos: Exploring Likely Scenarios
According to the English section of webangah News Agency, citing Mehr News Agency and Al Jazeera, Israel’s July 16 attack on Syria was not an isolated incident. Sence the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s government, Syria has been continuously subjected to Israeli strikes. Though, the recent assault marked one of the most brutal both in scale and intensity. Strikes extended from As-Suwayda and Daraa to the heart of Damascus,directly targeting Syrian government and military headquarters,fully destroying the Army General Staff building.
The Impact of Israeli Attacks on Syrian Territory for Turkish Security
The damage caused by these Israeli attacks went beyond material losses; there were also casualties among security forces including commanders and regular personnel.Ultimately, a ceasefire was reached between Israel and Abu Muhammad al-Jolani-led interim Syrian government forces. Yet this ceasefire does not signify an end to hostilities-it marks only a new phase in ongoing conflicts whose effects will extend across the region, especially impacting Turkey.
Fourteen years of war in Syria have exposed Turkey to important geopolitical and security risks that led it to deploy troops into northern Syria since 2016.The overthrow of Bashar al-Assad’s regime scheduled for December 8, 2024 represented what many saw as a major strategic victory for Ankara-one for which it was preparing to reap long-term strategic and security benefits.
Though, Israel’s recent moves in Syria have disrupted Ankara’s calculations. These actions reveal new dangers facing Syria that will inevitably ripple across neighboring countries-most notably within Turkey itself.
What Does Turkey’s “End-of-Patience” Mean?
This raises critical questions about how Ankara intends to respond: will it limit itself to verbal condemnation via media channels regarding Israeli aggression against Syria or proceed with concrete measures?
Statements by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan reflect clear anger toward Israel’s incursions into Syrian territory. He declared: “Our patience is over-that is all we will discuss with Tel Aviv-they do not want peace.”
but what exactly does Turkey mean by “patience running out”? It is evident that following Israel’s brutal assaults on Gaza, Lebanon, then Syria-and also Iran-Ankara realizes this conflict may eventually threaten its own borders to. Official statements from President recep Tayyip Erdoğan underscore a strong possibility that clashes between Turkey and Israel could erupt at any moment.
In this context appears the dissolution announcement regarding PKK/KCK organizations alongside disarmament efforts aimed at uniting domestic fronts within Turkey against external threats-particularly those posed by Israel.
This discourse extends into conservative nationalist circles within Turkish media where prevailing views hold that war with Israel remains imminent but one ankara strives either to avoid or postpone wherever possible.
The foreign minister recently urged caution over Israeli policies warning they risk dragging everyone-including Israel itself-into flames they cannot control.
Hakan Fidan called upon the international community-especially the United States, European Union countries, along with regional actors-to respond decisively against Israeli aggressions; otherwise severe repercussions will engulf all parts of this volatile region.
An analysis reveals these declarations serve as explicit warnings from Ankara directed particularly toward Washington: urgent action must be taken before instability engulfs entire Middle East territories given U.S.-backed unlimited support fuels such incursions unabatedly.
The Scenarios Between Tel Aviv and Ankara-and Turkey’s Options
If anything is clear now it is indeed that Turkey aims first at calming its Syrian front line over coming years while avoiding confrontation with Washington until after Donald Trump leaves office-a pragmatic stance driven by several objectives including lifting U.S sanctions on Ankara; restoring its role in F-35 fighter jet projects; resolving PKK issues fully; alongside vital economic expansion goals through growing trade relations concerned parties view favorably;
Yet circumstances evolved differently than anticipated as Benjamin Netanyahu’s aggressive policies compounded significant challenges for decision-makers in istanbul;
- 1. Create unified stances among regional countries who maintain considerable global leverage capable enabling concrete pressures.
Hakan Fidan emphasized awareness inside Ankara about importance cooperation saying: “We are meeting Jordanian & Saudi officials so all parties can evaluate serious problems Netanyahu has spawned throughout region.” - 2. Tackle immediate concerns regarding Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) stationed along border areas since SDF increasingly threatens national security-heightened due their close ties with Tel Aviv seeking secure supply corridors linking southern & northeastern parts supporting separatist ambitions jeopardizing overall stability inside both Syrians’ & Turks’ domains-as evidenced recently during unrests around Suwayda province.
- 3. Ankara strongly cautioned separatist factions per statements delivered explicitly warning them against provocative acts worsening already fragile situations amid evolving crisis dynamics lest further grave consequences arise:
- 4. Pursue drafting formal defense agreements authorizing lawful presence & operational authority over Turkish troops grounded inside reconfigured regime sections enabling reconstruction plus retraining Syrian armed forces-a concept often discussed post-Assad collapse but never fully enacted thus far.
“There are rumors Kurdish groups interfere in certain activities-we advise vigilance,” said Fidan.-“Do not exploit unrests or complicate sensitive processes further or face serious risks.”
In sum: aside from diverse objectives guiding latest Israeli raids inside Syria these actions concurrently signal preliminary alerts targeting especially Turkey urging readiness ahead possible sudden confrontations with Jerusalem authorities moving forward.
