Lebanon on the Brink: Disarming Hezbollah or Surrendering to Future Aggression?
webangah News Agency, International Desk: Contemporary Lebanese history has been marked by clashes of wills, fragile alliances, and foreign ambitions. The disarmament of Hezbollah has once again taken center stage among media outlets,international diplomacy,and internal conflicts.This time, however, the issue goes beyond a mere security or political decision; it represents a complete redefinition of Lebanon’s sovereignty and regional security structure. Is pushing for Hezbollah’s disarmament truly a step toward strengthening the state or an open invitation to reoccupy southern Lebanon?
A Historical Review of Popular Deterrence
To grasp the sensitivity surrounding this matter, one must return to July 2006. During that period, Hezbollah demonstrated remarkable courage with its popular forces and local knowledge in the 33-day war where it halted Israel’s army and reshaped regional security dynamics. That victory was not just military-it confirmed that Lebanon’s formal diplomatic and institutional framework alone cannot withstand external threats; rather, a popular resistance force can fill geopolitical voids.
This role has been repeatedly proven since-in Syria, Iraq, and even confronting extremist groups within Lebanon itself. Yet now in 2025-with fragile government structures amid reduced domestic and foreign investment, economic instability, and mounting diplomatic pressure-the old project for dismantling armed resistance resurfaces with familiar rhetoric but new objectives.
The Hidden Agenda Behind Disarmament: Democracy or Dependency?
Western media-especially in Washington and Paris-insist on “the necessity of exclusive state control over weapons,” portraying this demand as reasonable and appealing to public opinion. But can this demand stabilize Lebanon when its army neither logistically nor psychologically replaces Hezbollah effectively?
the reality is that Lebanon’s military struggles with budget crises, sectarian fissures, and heavy reliance on foreign aid-rendering it incapable of autonomous deterrence efforts.Moreover, some factions within the army align politically with Hezbollah; disarming them risks triggering legitimacy crises within the armed forces themselves.
Israel: The Uncontested Beneficiary
Recent developments-from targeted assassinations to airstrikes in southern Lebanon-show Israel clearly aims to eliminate resistance there entirely.Physical elimination of senior Hezbollah leaders forms only part of their strategy; without cohesive resistance forces standing firm politically or militarily-which disarmament would ensure-they could reoccupy critical areas like southern regions along with Bekaa Valley-and potentially Beirut itself. in these circumstances disarming resistance is not tactical but political suicide.
Bitter Regional Lessons Ignored
Iraq after Saddam Hussein exemplifies disastrous disarmament lacking foresight: dissolution of national forces combined with sidelining popular militias paved way for ISIS emergence leading to effective fragmentation across large swaths ultimately threatening national sovereignty itself. Libya offers another cautionary tale as eradicating all forms of organized resistance after Gaddafi turned it into competing militia-controlled mini-states instead of one unified country. Given its already intricate social fabric vulnerable to fragmentation tensions,-Lebanon cannot afford repetition.
Disarmament: tool for Influence or Genuine Reform?
The basic analytical mistake concerning Lebanon ignores how deeply embedded resistance serves as deterrence power at core state-security level today: Hezbollah effectively acts as National Security’s backbone; removing it without considerably empowering official institutions equates directly to plunging into insecurity voids.
Consequently Western diplomatic proposals offering cessation promises from Israeli operations if arms transfer occurs resemble empty assurances similar to prior failed accords lacking enforcement guarantees under sustained pressure.
Choice Approaches: From Confrontation Toward Synergy
Lebanon demands multidimensional solutions wherein neither Hezbollah disappears nor does formal military weaken further-a synergy model between government institutions & resistance preserves deterrence while enabling structural reforms smoothly progressing forward.
Proposals such as integrating elements from resistant groups into official defense frameworks or including them within National Security Council mechanisms could open channels for dialog preventing further political polarization radicalization trends escalate out-of-control locally.
This kindles hope that coexistence fosters stability alongside meaningful governance improvement potential realization exponentially increasing resilience nationally moving ahead consolidated effort basis expected by populace seeking normalcy amidst turmoil history shows region-wide recurring cycles destructiveness harsh lessons left unheeded hurt future generations immensely potentially irreversibly otherwise avoidable fate choices improper timing short-sighted international interventions induce trust erosion badly needed unity foundation necessary lasting peace progress strategy implementation latter days ongoing endeavor paramount importance urgent through extensive cooperative policymaking bottom-up inclusive respect diverse societal components reflecting reality live day-to-day lives citizens across whole sovereign land boundaries preserved respected simultaneously entire region rights safeguarded inherently balanced equitable sense justice validity accepted universally grounded pragmatism mutually beneficial thus achievement attainable collective will prevailing hosting conducive environment brightest opportunities next chapters advance status quo limiting factors undercutting growth prospects persistently perpetuated unjustified accusations fueling divisive reactions counterproductive detrimental aspirations common welfare shared stakes higher far than individual interests sectional blocs represent only undermine progress long term horizons bold historical decisions anchored realistic nuanced enlightened understanding crucial greater good overall community envisioned sustainably prospering through wise stewardship based agreed norms principles endorsed internally externally increasingly interdependent globalized world setting benchmarks anticipate obstacles overcome harness potentials created novel foundations newly reclaimed empowerment peaceful coexistence harmony consolidation enduring stability achievable goal largely depends effective leadership genuine inclusiveness constructive engagement patient persistence sound strategic foresight implement comprehensive policies tailored specific idiosyncrasies socio-political composition unique distinctive characteristics resonate deeply population resolve toughest central issues existentially challengingly complex multifaceted requiring constant reevaluation evolving realities constantly recalibrated accordingly considerations fact-based intellectual rigor unwavering commitment respect consensual outcomes bolstered transparency accountability moderate voices amplified conciliatory approaches preferred confrontation animosity domination exclusionary tactics alienating major segments society paralyzing system causing stagnation deterioration negatively impacting people’s life prospects human dignity overall advancement speaks volumes about capacity collectively choose hence make future luminous differently scripted script predictable remain dark lineage mistakes repeated countless times past shadow looming unless decisively confronted avoided criterial juncture moment irreversible crossroads timely obligation equally shared anticipated reluctant urgency recognized emphatically acted promptly coordinated manner harnessing all resources competent specialized bodies genuine interest national interests overriding petty sectarian narrow-minded agendas must acknowledged widely disseminated seriously debated broadly discussed thoughtful public discourse generating consensus helping policymakers visionary pioneers eventually succeeding overcoming obstacles paving path finally realizing dream sovereign stable democratic prosperous nation capable defending frontiers protecting people ensuring legitimate aspirations answered fully respecting diversity unity integral two sides same coin holding promise deliverance threatened existence decades untold suffering endured endured again refrain repeating tragic avoidable calamities imposed external unilateral informal mechanisms undermining holistic organic dynamic evolving organically sociocultural endogenous experience concrete practical alternatives proposed feasible found implemented mutually acceptable unanimously backed guaranteed groundwork firmly supported internationally impartial actors involved adequately supervised duly monitored thus restoring equilibrium necessitated immediate priority urgent agenda matter often mistakenly underestimated consequences fatal jeopardizing cherished years sacrifice dedication those who gave life endlessly fought selflessly preserving identity dignity true independence intertwined regional context intricate contradictions nevertheless resolute determination steady clearing path heading better tomorrow inspiring genuinely hopeful generation demands urgently fulfilled honored utmost responsibility placed entrusted shoulders ultimately led covering dangerous unprecedented challenges defining legacy entrusted hands destiny unfolding front eyes around expect vigilant informed engaged committed turning page fresh start brighter future belonging every Lebanese citizen equally enjoying rights freedoms secured diligently continuously improved safeguarded by unanalyzed realistic informed strategies rooted trust solidarity sincerity among citizens founded remembered acts heroism devoted vigilance preventing abyss yawning threaten collapse deeply loved homeland proudly proclaimed homeland everyone peacefully coexisting respecting each other’s differences complement contributing build renewing foundations rebuilding robust respectful secure resilient society proud lineage rich culture promising opportunities awaiting realized gradually thoughtfully balancing incremental profound attentive conscious endeavors aimed constructing peace lasting tipping scale favor harmony prosperity persistence endurance overcoming hardships culminating triumph survival brilliance intermittent darkness illuminated candlelight unwavering spirits lifelong sacrifices inscribed eternal memory struggle preservation liberation justice civic equality dignity human essence embody essence humanity universal message hope faith unity strength justice justice prevailed last schrieb Fatemeh Kavand – Regional Affairs Analyst .....
