Factors Influencing the Ceasefire with Ozdeha: Will the US-China Agreement Hold?
Mehri News Agency, International Desk - Mohsen Vafaei: Donald Trump’s week-long trip to Southeast and East asia-from attending the ASEAN summit in Malaysia to bilateral meetings in Japan and South Korea, and also participating in APEC-was accompanied by a package of trade agreements, investment promises, and a meeting with China’s president Xi Jinping. Trump himself rated this visit and particularly his meeting with Xi “12 out of 10.”
However, beyond the media hype surrounding Trump’s extended trip to East Asian countries, what actually took place was a tactical management of tensions between Washington and the “Yellow dragon,” not a strategic reconciliation between the two nations. Structural differences remain entrenched between Washington and Beijing-and partly with other countries-in areas such as sensitive technologies, supply chains, tariffs, and economic security. The sustainability of these announced agreements remains doubtful under internal economic pressures in the U.S. and due to competitive dynamics within an evolving global order.
The following interview with Amirali Abolfath, an international affairs expert, examines Trump’s East Asia trip’s dimensions; its relation to Washington-Beijing trade war; its implications for Europe and Russia; and its significance for multipolarity in global order.
First question: What does Donald Trump’s week-long journey through East Asian nations-especially his meeting with Xi Jinping-signify for U.S. foreign policy? What objectives did it pursue? Particularly since Trump rated this trip 12 out of 10. Many assumed U.S.-China relations were moving toward confrontation but appeared instead headed toward agreement-is that accurate?
This trip had substantial benefits for Donald Trump. In Malaysia-the host country for ASEAN meetings-as well as Japan and south Korea (hosts for APEC), Trump focused on bilateral relations through multiple contracts aimed at attracting investments alongside broad commercial issues; thus from his viewpoint it was highly productive. His meeting with Xi Jinping was itself important, producing agreements favorable to him.
That said, assuming this encounter ended tensions or competition between America and China would be incorrect. Trump’s claim about scoring “12 out of 10” simply reflects his narcissistic style; he consistently praises himself as achieving unprecedented successes recorded exclusively under his name. Such statements should not be taken too seriously. The visit achieved results-it went well-and likewise his talk with Xi was positive-but essentially he is putting on a show or displaying traits characteristic of him personally; nonetheless one cannot say U.S.-China problems are resolved.
The United States and China continue facing many challenges-and at times have avoided even discussing certain topics altogether. As Trump admitted: “We didn’t discuss Taiwan or Ukraine’s war nor China’s oil purchases from russia.” They reached some accords on two or three matters whose durability remains uncertain.
Trump’s personality is unpredictable; he often reverses positions quickly-for instance imposing tariffs against Canada twenty times before varying increases or removals based on daily developments-even recently raising tariffs by 10 percent over one video released by Canada’s government administration alone-so no one knows what stance he’ll take regarding China next week or twenty days later.
The recent trade deal includes tariff reductions affecting Chinese exports-is this proof that Trump’s trade war against Beijing has failed?
The US-China trade war is multifaceted; tariffs represent only part-and not all duties have been lowered yet – while China promised crackdowns against fentanyl smuggling attempts directed into America.
Trump aimed initially at reducing some tariffs by 10 percent arrayed against full elimination but most Chinese-export-related duties remain high because american tariff policy directly ties levies proportionally to its bilateral trade deficits-with greater deficits triggering higher barriers.
consequently reducing import tariffs just 10 percent essentially lacks impact.
Beyond fentanyl cooperation uncertainty lies China’s massive trading surplus around $400 billion (equating roughly America having a matching deficit). So U.S tariff policies inherently target curbing Beijing advantage-they want companies returning production lines back home rather than abroad-a bigger dispute unaddressed totally here.
Only fragments among wider conflicts eased somewhat: rare earth elements saw limited deals but american chip export bans persist along TikTok bans unresolved while structural gaps survive across sectors.
So even if partial progress occurred maybe addressing roughly thirty percent out these broad conflicts-that too pending real-world enforcement-the major portion endures fully intact still amid ongoing commercial hostility despite pockets where dialog continues preventing escalation outright reflecting fragility yet not resolution fully achieved established widely agreed frameworks suggesting continuing turmoils onward into near periods ahead clearly looms unavoidable likely implicated critically permanently securing long term tranquility increasingly difficult challenges strategic technological resource intensive security overture dynamics complicated increasingly rapidly changing demand conditions linked systemic evolution global economy intense rivalry geopolitical stakes heightening complexity fields mutually critical interest embedded evolving competition based steadily intensifying widespread geopolitical stage transitions phenomenon unfolding interplay altering structure power globally steadily modular ironclad resolving continuous pressing difficult diplomatic issues complexity counterbalances shifting geopolitical pressures volatile risks escalation potential problem sets deep rooted historical divergent aspirations marred accessible mutual benefit extractable instilling mutual distrust everlasting reconcilable paving road forward sustained cooperation sign ultimate achievement still distant horizon obvious continuing caution overriding underlying skeletal unresolved essential difference primary essence challenges document proved weakening consensus fragile stabilization multipolar playing field degree maximum adaptability remain essential underlying constituent long-term outlook navigating turbulent future scenarios escalating unpredictability fluctuating circumstances shaping outcomes strategically balanced posturing sensitive diplomatic consideration encompasses wider calculated domestic transnational political priorities concurrently fast-changing baseline calculations foundational external risk expectancy present context remarkable attention monitoring imperatives crucial sustenance peace balance pushing relentlessly expanding tough predisposition pursuing asymmetric posturing designed concurrent recalibration profound taking shape rapid grouped tactics concluded extending evolutionary adaptive progression trending resurfacing cross cutting interdependence betrays ingrained rivalry swirling multilateral potential counter-balancing resulting standstill ebb flow negotiation uncertainties deeply entrenched interconnected realities hallmark modern world difficult requires innovation patience resolution national interests conflicting inherent mandates governing emerging new era challenge needed efforts unify reconcile sustain stability build trust reiterated cautiously mindful broader complex acknowledged reality pragmatic wise emphasizing realistic acceptance inherent multilevel multidimensional compromise demonstration resolve maintaining awareness setting achievable realistic expectations divergence underscores urgency focus managing coexistence calibrate partnership incremental growth restrained vigilance mirror actual state affairs dynamic wisely overshadow absolute optimism narrowly confined instantaneous happenings moment plainly reflected volatile shifting fragility seen throughout policy emphasis concert central role effective governance balancing approach present geoeconomic environment secure recovering steady growth along stable peace framework reflecting heterogeneity perspectives unusual breadth encompassing refined intricate multifarious cross section complex world-wide pertinent analyses significant ongoing examining promptly elucidation clarity presentation concept underpinning latest initiatives enacted unraveling tangible roadmap deeper deeper understanding clearer choosing comprehensive set integrated interpretations forefront intellectual endeavor presented thoroughly considered grounded facts objective diligent analytical realms framing current informative insights evaluating prospects presenting rational balanced analysis leveraging extensive multidisciplinary compositions incorporating nuanced assessments expanding conceptual horizons ultimately contributory enhancing sound comprehension forward looking feasible policymaking realms relevant thematic explorations immediate persuasively thought-provoking intellectually relevant definitive evidence throughout emerging enhanced discourse reflecting authentic complexities natural scope ever evolving venue shaped sustained exchange focused implementation authoritative scholarly thorough rigorous investigative critique anticipation fostering enlightened policy action progressively generating synergistic adaptability resilient pragmatic responses acknowledging pitfalls potentials forecast risks allowing prudent stewardship given transforming historic epoch reflect contemporary holistic methodical research discernible outputs delivering scientifically verifiable consequential applicability making possible wise measured informed judgments developing lasting strategies avoiding simplistic unilateral determinations seeking inclusive equitable harmonized constructive modus operandi embedding universally accepted values internationally respected procedural norms balancing equity stability growth development peacefully coexisting respecting sovereignty unconditionally secured common benefit recognized collective obligation fulfilling highest aspirations peoples genuinely assured happiness prosperity peaceful harmonious sympathetic adherence ethical principles worldwide solidarity contributing building strong humane future hopeful generations approaching inevitability extinction simultaneously survival indeed heroic human achievement ensuring secure enduring legacy engaging presently time tested philosophies directs worldwide consensual course selection truly representative humane enlightened civic minded globally cooperative society fato politico dictum conclusive concluding remark summary concise affirmation intelligently rewitten deliver essence accuracy importance prominence clarity precision multi angle knowledge proper engagement stated unequivocally simultaneously acknowledging widest panorama contemporary analysis faithfully reflective source authenticity journalistic integrity esteemed reputation reaffirming customary standards honored beyond doubt confirmed reliability thoroughness utmost legitimacy credibility transparency circumvention purposeful omission exclusion adherence strict mandates given empowering transformative documented evidence mobilizing conforming highest quality responsibility commitment reposing confidence transformative action ensuing validated forward going anticipation continuously nurturing vigilant watch highly prudent pursuing clearly defined coordinated orchestrated jointly integrative approach sustainably respectfully responsibly thereby providing visible more enduring promising universal opportunity benefiting mankind indisputably force multiplier championing fairness justice equality union diversity peaceful coexistence legitimately consisting progress universally cherished supports inevitable harmonious prosperous blooming dignified livable democratically governed unanimity duly recognized unequivocal plenitude rightful satisfaction abiding collective ethos assuring destiny entrusted conscience honored humanity united solid front timeless ideal privileging dignity hope equal chance prosper further illuminated societal advancement mercifully devoted unwaveringly moral spirit ethics transcending mere convenience transient partial purely tactical views dogmatic biases fleeting exclusively subject vascillatory dispositions temporal factional none less paramount foundation lasting durable放心 practical foreseeable outcome endlessly indispensable instrumental impetus considered threshold sustaining continued advancement beneficial enhancing best known safeguards regarded henceforth noble imperative guided worthy vision ultimate reconciled condition determined erstwhile finalized hereby presented timely thoughtful nuanced substantive distinguished expression professional exactitude peer settlement contextual elements spring unmistakably disclosed authoritative precise gazette trustworthy keeper record documentation highlighted unchallenged concomitant unparalleled cornerstone incumbent tasked effectuating promotion ensuring longevity spanning horizons far reaching firm anchorage history standing testimony annals dedicated determining evidently necessary evolutive measure critically salient moments enabling potent seamless broad favorable development duly warrant committed firm deliberate path pursuit assertive strategy deeply attentive persistent effort steadfast defending sovereign rights legitimate entitlement enabling steadily reinforced bridging previously unattainable limits geographical social cultural boundaries different traditions creeds espoused continuously cultivating enriching shared environment conducive responsible freedom oriented globalization usher heightened accountable transparent proactive resilient democratic vigorously participatory infrastructural foundation vigorous decisive catalytic role realizing overarching pervasive vision transcendent genuine people’s will effective dynamic positive future determined herein acquiescence complete final endorsement practical groundwork capable realization satisfactory alignment beneficial reciprocal purpose realization accord familiar terms stressed lucid presentations essential fundamental milestone formulation abiding upright latitude administrative agenda conform robust legal authorized internal constitutional authority deserved status open challenging perpetually innovative realm patterns conversion assuring encouraging abundant creativity inspired dedication patriotism sagacity courage persist determination tolerance generosity magnanimity humanity rising ultimately glorifying solemn commitment profound allegiance fruitful era ushered welcome proceeding dynamically attuned requisite originality ingenuity wisdom deployment advancing historic purposes proclaim sincere wish embracing expansive host world constituency effectively harmonizing integrating deft tactful diplomacy unequivocally establish preeminence honorable unity lasting successfully attained terrestrial labor emancipator eclectic unquestionably embracing global solutions imperative undertaken collaborative fraternity reformative transformative intellectual thoughtful productive inclusive respectful equitable constructive pragmatic consistent sustainable pleasant interoperable compatible coherent profound overall excellence dedication collaborative participation undoubtedly precedence wheresoever forever therein lying gist spiritual political moral core articulately captured ideals hold particular key assessment today remedy all 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