How will relations between Russia and America be in Trump’s era?
Mehr News Agency, International Group: American foreign policy in the era Post-Biden against a superpower called Russia is one of the important issues that has attracted the attention of political analysts and international relations experts. It is important for the world to know that several decades after the Second World War and the Cold War, Washington’s view of Moscow will be the same before, or there will be some interests and personality similarities. Two famous politicians, Trump and Putin, make new differences. As of now, the American news website Newsweek has announced that Zelensky, the president of Ukraine, is the leader who feels more threatened by Trump’s return to the White House than others.
Although the task of Donald Trump’s new cabinet has not yet been clarified, there is a fairly clear picture of his foreign policy approach. Political observers expect that based on Trump’s words during his election campaign, as well as his decisions and behavior in the years 2016 to 2020, changes in the current foreign policy of the United States. to observe In the meantime, it seems that the two important issues of Ukraine and NATO are the most important points of attention in the relations between America and Russia, and it is expected that Trump’s approach in every Two cases, different from the Biden administration.
The important issue about the American foreign policy is that the elected president still adheres to the slogan “America first” as in the first period of his presidency and in As a result, it can be understood that he opposes all the actions of the Joe Biden team in the Ukraine case. However, analysts believe that such a decision is only about the issue of Ukraine and does not mean the end of historical tensions between America and Russia.
Trump knows the power and resilience of Russia
One of the important issues about the Ukraine case and the attitude of NATO allies towards Russia is that despite the sanctions and pressure International and the prolongation of the war, Russia has shown a lot of resilience and has not shied away from its positions. This is the issue that has attracted the attention of Alexander Gabov, an analyst of the Carnegie Foundation and the Financial Times of America. And he wrote about it as follows: “The words of Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia, after the victory of Donald Trump in the American elections, are of particular importance.”
This analyst of political issues adds: “Ending the crisis in Ukraine is also important for Russia, and as if from the Kremlin’s point of view, Trump’s victory is a new opportunity to solve this
span style=”text-a..”>has created a problem. Of course, the Russian leadership carefully watches the decisions of the new American government and based on Trump’s approach will decide For example, if Trump pushes to lower the global price of oil to $50 per barrel, there may be long-term challenges for Putin’s government, but the Kremlin is hopeful at the same time. Trump, unlike Biden, does not support the decisions of European allies in the Ukraine case.”
These words of the American Financial Times analyst were expressed while Trump, in most of his election speeches, has pledged to end the war quickly end and Trump’s advisors have also openly stated that America has nothing to do with 20% of Ukraine’s territory remaining in the hands of Russia , because Their vital priority is to stop war and tension. Perhaps it is because of these positions of Trump’s advisers that fear and panic have fallen on the lives of Western capitals and they have come to the assessment that Trump will not support Ukraine in the coming months.
Trump’s range of decisions may be even wider than the ceasefire and accept the fact that the West will agree to Ukraine’s non-membership in NATO. However, such behavior is not due to the so-called pacifist nature of Trump and the Republicans, but the main issue is that Trump continues to pursue propaganda as usual. And there is a media frenzy to end the ceasefire in Ukraine in the first weeks of its activity.
This kind of propaganda behavior has already been seen in the US-North Korea tensions case, and the world saw that in that matter, Trump was only looking for photos and media controversy. But at least about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, it can be said that Trump’s team has received the fact that, firstly, Russia’s resilience and resistance is an important issue, and secondly, the continuity The extensive financial and military support of NATO members to Zelensky has not achieved any concrete results.
Russia is still a global superpower
The Biden government has been trying to use Russia as a a failed and decline power to introduce to the world. But even American strategists have not accepted such a claim. For example, Nikolas Gusudov, a professor at the US Naval War College and a senior member of the Foreign Policy Research Institute, said: “The fact is that Russia is still an important economic and military in the world.”
He further added: “Ignoring this important fact is not wise and cannot exclude Russia from the international system. separated. Most countries are committed to maintaining their relations with Moscow, and attempts to isolate Russia may backfire and strengthen the dollar end because other countries, regardless of America’s attitude, maintain their economic relations with Russia, and the same thing may end up harming the role of the American dollar”.
In addition to political analysts and international relations experts, American politicians have also recommended more cautious decisions towards Russia. The US Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, a long time ago before said in response to the questions of members of the US Congress: “You have to act cautiously. Those unlimited sanctions are the opposite of diplomacy. In a situation where even the advisers of the diplomatic apparatus of the Biden government also acknowledge the futility of international sanctions against Russia have done, it is easy to understand that Trump’s team has to accept the objective political, defense and economic reality of Russia and make new decisions.
In the end, it should be noted that one of the important concerns of the Trump team to adopt The new decisions against Russia are the undeniable role of China, because in the past few years, China and Russia have been constantly together in the political, defense and economic fields. and Understanding This strategic reality makes Russia always have other alternatives to respond to American proposals.