The victory of the conservatives and the emergence of extremist right; The alarm for the EU
Conservative victory and extremist right record: Transformation in the German Political Scene
based on the results of election, obviously the high school Mortus will be and it should be seen that cdu eventually By which parties in parliament form the coalition? According to Mortus Forecasting of a coalition between the Social Democratic and Green coalition seems reasonable, which, because of the challenge of environmental issues such as environmental issues. is faced with . Marcus Farrrr , the head of the Social-Green Party, also dismisses the coalition with the Green, which means Iqbal to SPD and the formation of a government with a dual coalition or a large coalition. It is a former. In the event of a CDU tendency towards a coalition other than a coalition with the Social Democrats based on votes, the two-party coalition is not possible and the left party must also be present in the coalition.
extremist right and political rejection: why parties are reluctant to cooperate with AFD
all on the table’s analysis seems obvious, and that parties are reluctant to coalition with the extremist right party or AFD. Contrary to the party’s leaders’ willingness to be in the coalition government, other parties have no chance of attending extremist rights in the coalition in their comments. But where does this unwillingness arise and what will the consequences?
, according to statistics, the votes of the extremist right party have surpassed the previous period of about 4.9 percent and set a historical record. Also, about 5 million eligible people who have not voted for voting for the first time have voted for AFD, and based on this analysis, this can indicate instant and emotional action of the community. Germany to somewhat slogans populism This is the party. There are several reasons for this unprecedented event that contributes to the analysis of the political future of Germany and even the European Union.
Right-to-right growth factors: from internal crises to European nationalism
First, critical and unprecedented political instability in Germany, which has caused public dissatisfaction and demands to change the political governance paradigm. This is natural, and it should not seem to be the victory of AFD Manifesto against other political currents. At the time of the fundamental political crisis, the general public is always moving towards changing a general approach, but rather a drink in the pain of the current situation. The folk example of this is the change of manager and tactics used in a football team after a few consecutive failures!
The second is the formation of nationalist general and inclusive wave and emphasis on national identity in Europe. Voting Georgia Meloni from the Party of Italian Brothers Fratelli d’Italia FDI ) ) In the third largest EU economy in year 2 It can be a claim. Currents with slogans anti-Semitic and anti-culture in the social and economic independence and decentralization of Brussels in the form of public interest.
other positions that have led to public interest in this political-political process include the Ukrainian war. Increasing economic pressure from the energy crisis and the staggering costs of livelihood has led some of German public opinion to a process that promises to prioritize domestic economic interests by relying on the reduction of transnational obligations and revising sanctions policies.
In addition, German socio-political structure has also undergone a growing bipolar between the urban elite and the rural working class; The trend has also been observed in recent elections in other Western countries, including France (with the growth of Lupen Span>) and the United States (Trump’s victory) . This social divide has led to parts of the working class and the low-key classes that consider themselves globalization and transnational policies, to the right-wing right parties with the slogans of anti-Semitic and Style = “Text-Align: Justify”> Supporting Economic Economic Do. There are other reasons, such as the United States’ ally, namely the United States of these currents and talks Supporting , albeit before the CDU victory, which was not ineffective, but the impact was ineffective, but the impact was ineffective, but the impact Has not been treated.
Right-to-right impact on the European Union: Threat of Economic and Political Integrity
Examination of the above is a fundamental and contemplative discussion of this written. The tendency of large European economies, such as Germany, as the union’s motor engine, as well as countries such as Italy as a major economy and, of course, one of the largest financial debtors to the European Union towards extremist nationalism and extremist rights, face the Union. First, the return of the war to the green continent and the continuation of military tensions in Eastern Europe has faced the major challenges of political-economic and tendency toward Right extreme with the slogans of government incomes solely for internal costs and shooting from European Halls The European Union’s gradual economic collapse at this time.
rising Government spending following increased production costs from instances such as lack of Application Cheap Migration Workers also contribute to cause It is and immerses governments solely on internal costs. Also, attention to the development of domestic industrial infrastructure and the lack of support for support projects for other union members, the European Union makes the EU a combination of obese and thin economic-industrial countries. Less developed countries are also a platform for norms against the ideals of European society.
The euro crisis experience in year 2 showed that the gap between nuclear and peripheral economies of the European Union can lead to structural instability under financial solidarity. At that time, German refusal and some other economic powers to accept the financial burden of rescuing crisis countries such as Greece and Spain put the union on the brink of economic divergence. If this approach and the increasing tendency of national governments to protectionist and reduced transnational financial obligations, the possibility of re-forming a debt crisis and weakening the EU economic integrity will not be unexpected. Was.
Future of the European Union: Reflining identity in the light of new challenges
Political decentralization in key countries of the European Union such as Germany and Italy, both of which are known as the main players in the political and economic structure of the Union, led to the formation of multiplicity and inconsistency in The face of complex political, economic and security crises has become. This phenomenon is particularly visible in critical situations such as the Russian and Ukraine war, which requires rapid and coordinated reaction from the union. When member states seek their national interests and domestic policies rather than adopting a unified and coordinated approach, the union’s ability to make efficient and timely decisions is reduced. This not only delays the response to crises, but it can also exacerbate disputes between members and weaken European solidarity.
In addition, the tendency towards extremist nationalist slogans creates profound structural challenges for the EU. While the powerful union countries, such as Germany and Italy, seek to reduce their commitments to the European project instead of strengthening transnational cooperation, the Union is at risk of redefining its identity. This redefinition can not only undermine the economic and political integrity of the union, but it may also undermine the common European aspirations of al-Sha’a. Such a trend is by no means the demands of the European elites and wise forces, because they know well that the future of Europe depends on solidarity and cooperation between members, not dependent on nationalist isolation and self -centered policies.
German democracy in test: New Government Challenges
In analyzing German conditions, given the unprecedented voting of extremist rights, it should be said that the essence of these parties is always created by creating Political controversy and harsh behaviors are associated. These features make the political period ahead of parliament and the political structure of the country. In modern democratic systems, the government is based on two basic foundations legitimacy and acceptance . Legitimacy is achieved through democratic and free processes such as people’s representatives, while accepting public satisfaction and community favor to the state.
recent German election results show the widespread dissatisfaction with the past political paradigm and the performance of the former government. This discontent is clearly seen, especially among the working classes and the low -income classes who consider themselves victims of globalization and immigration policies. These groups tend to call for major changes in the country’s domestic and foreign policies, with a tendency to extremist right parties such as AFD.
Now it can now be said that the bold AFD presence in parliament will create profound challenges for the new government. The party will become a serious obstacle to the decisions of the ruling coalition with an offensive and critical approach, especially in critical issues such as immigration and energy policies. This situation not only slows down the decision -making of parliament, but it can lead to political deadlock and intensifying internal differences.
In addition, controversial behaviors and extremist AFD positions can have negative feedback in the international community. Germany, as one of the leading powers in the European Union, always needs to maintain a positive image and international trust. But the bold presence of an extremist right party in parliament may undermine the image of Germany as a stable and moderate country.
As a result, the ahead of Germany will be a challenging period. The new government must not only deal with the internal dissatisfaction and political pressure of the extremist parties, but it must also maintain the confidence of the international community. This requires a precise balance between responding to domestic demands and adherence to international commitments, which is undoubtedly a difficult test for German democracy.
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