Point of No Return: Syria’s Fragmentation Amid Tel Aviv’s Aggressions
The recent sectarian attacks by Abu Mohammad Jolani’s regime against Alawite neighborhoods in Homs have underscored Syria’s fragile security and political situation. These assaults reveal deep sectarian tensions and structural disintegration within Syrian society.
Public Protests in Homs
The attacks began wiht desert tribal groups from the Bani Khalid tribe and reportedly involved forces loyal to Jolani’s regime. In response, Alawite communities mobilized following calls by Sheikh Ghazal Ghazal, head of the Supreme Islamic Alawite Council in Syria and abroad. Demonstrations took place across coastal and central regions demanding “federalism” and separation from Jolani’s rule-emphasizing that religious factions harmed by the absence of a national government have reached an irreversible stance regarding his regime.
While various religious and ethnic groups such as Druze, Alawites, Kurds, and Shiites seem most affected by Jolani’s rule, realities in major cities including Damascus, Aleppo, Hama, Deir ez-Zor, and daraa reveal that Syrians of diverse religions and ethnicities bear significant damage. All citizens face severe assaults by extremist Takfiri ideology carriers.
Separatist Movements in Hasakah
Jolani’s efforts to consolidate HTS (Hay’et Tahrir al-Sham) control over governance structures and economic assets continue amid policies of killing civilians, displacement, and repression. These actions increasingly fuel demands for territorial separation from Syria.
The push for fragmentation frist emerged at a conference organized months ago by the Autonomous Management of Northeast Syria (AANES) held in Hasakah. Recently Maslom Abdi-the commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces-proposed involving Alawites and Druze in negotiations with Damascus as part of a new strategy aimed at reinforcing their united stance against Jolani’s challenge.
Separatist Protests in Suwayda and Daraa
Political separatist demands are more outspoken under Sheikh Hikmat al-Hajri’s leadership in Suwayda. This position intensified following Israeli military interventions causing thousands killed or missing.
Meanwhile border clashes persist between security bases loyal to Jolani’s regime along eastern-northeastern Daraa outskirts versus native tribes; similar conflict occurs near western-northern villages around Suwayda controlled by the national Guard. These tensions widen fractures between Jabal al-Hauran region residents and Jolani’s authority. Reports indicate secret messages from Damascus offering limited autonomy to suwayda province as part of behind-the-scenes negotiations.
On another front,Jolani attempts heavy coordination with Israeli occupation forces despite sharp condemnation within Israel itself; Israel’s Knesset Security Committee disparages any security agreements with his regime labeling its elements as terrorists while stressing protection for Druze populations.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu repeatedly asserts enhanced military oversight over southern Syrian provinces under this framework. The ongoing atrocities committed against Druze communities combined with official silence across Turkey,Qatar,and Saudi Arabia have gradually pushed many Druze closer toward seeking support via Israel.
Repression Intensifies Separatism along Syria’s Coast
A similar separatist trend resurfaces along coastal territories where daily aggressions target Alawites amid continuing silence among Arab states.The Tel Aviv government anticipates these marginalized coastal residents will ultimately turn to it in desperation due to abandonment by Arab Muslim countries.
This evolving scenario suggests nothing can prevent Syria’s disintegration amid ongoing Israeli expansionism unless Damascus’ ruling regime is uprooted through political transition toward establishing a multi-party system respecting Syria’s diverse fabric while preserving its territorial integrity-a scenario appearing increasingly unlikely given future developments underway.
