Trump’s big challenge to defeat Biden

According to the report of Fars International News Agency, with the victory of “Donald Trump” in the state of “New Hampshire” in the preliminary stage of the American presidential elections, some analysts say that his final candidacy in the elections is confirmed and his competition with “Joe Biden” , the current president of the United States in the November 2024 general election will be inevitable.

Trump’s performance in the primary stage has caused many analysts to think that the possibility of his victory against Joe Biden is beyond the limit of reality. to imagine But a look at some statistics shows that this analysis is not necessarily correct.

Before the primary election in the state of Iowa, which was held about a week ago, NBC published the results of a poll.

That poll found that 43 percent of those who support Nikki Haley, Trump’s Republican opponent, said that if If the competition is between Trump and Biden, they prefer to vote for the Democratic Party candidate rather than Trump.

In addition, as “Ron DeSantis” stated last night, the low participation of Republican Party voters in the state polls. Iowa reflects conservative dissatisfaction with Trump.

DeSantis said 110,000 people attended the Iowa caucuses, compared to about 186,000 in 2016. Meanwhile, the total number of supporters of the Republican Party in this state this year is more than in 2016.

The election results in the state of “New Hampshire” gave another confirmation to this hypothesis. Politico has published a report showing that Nikki Haley’s supporters prefer to vote for Biden over Trump.

Scott Simon, 64, who voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 elections, says “I cannot vote for Trump. He is a cheater. Too corrupt. I voted for him, but I didn’t know he was so corrupt.” he is. Of course, this is not the whole story and there are other reasons at work here.

Trump in 2024 will not be judged as a candidate who entered the election field for the first time, and voters are more than They focus their opinions about him on the performance of his campaign, they look at his 4-year performance in the White House.

Of course, on the other hand, Joe Biden is also the most unpopular president in history with a poor 4-year record. America has been nicknamed and during his time in the White House, he has adopted and continued practically all of Trump’s policies, especially in the field of foreign policy. Again, the voters he pushed away from him will have a more difficult task ahead of him than his rival in the Democratic Party. was placed For example, the New York Times and Sinai College reported in a joint poll that the level of support for Biden among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent voters (91 percent) is slightly higher than the level of support for Trump among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents (86 percent).

The number of 86% support of the Republicans for Trump is of course a high number for him to be able to get permission to enter the White House again in November, but in a competitive election. Close and close, this small difference may change the weight towards the Democratic candidate.

Of course, this problem is not unique to Trump. Some of the voters of the Democratic Party are also dissatisfied with him due to his performance and have said that they plan to vote for the third party candidate in November. “We need to show that elections can’t just be about voting for two parties that nobody agrees with,” he told Politico. “rtejustify”>How effective this group of voters will be in determining the next president is questionable, but there are signs that Trump’s situation among independent voters is worse than Biden’s.

In a New York Times poll conducted last month, it was found that Biden is ahead of Trump with 50% to 38%.

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