Examining 4 possible paths leading to the overthrow of Netanyahu

According to the international group Tasnim news agency quoting the Palestine Information Center, the war in Gaza The fate and future of Benjamin Netanyahu, the prime minister of the Zionist regime, has been put in jeopardy. On the one hand, many Israelis want him to be removed, and on the other hand, it is not difficult to draw conclusions about the international desire to leave him, considering Netanyahu’s opposition to the creation of a Palestinian state, but his term as prime minister in 2026 comes to an end and there is no clear and clear mechanism for holding early elections.

The New York Times newspaper in a report examines 4 paths that may lead to Netanyahu’s ouster before the end of his term as prime minister in 2026. .

The first path: the collapse of his cabinet

The New York Times emphasized that the easiest way to remove Netanyahu is to collapse his cabinet, while Netanyahu’s coalition holds 64 Knesset seats. , only by the separation of 5 members of this coalition, his cabinet will collapse and new elections must be held within 3 months.

This newspaper adds that if Smotrich and Itmar Ben Ghafir, two hard-line Israeli ministers, are removed from the cabinet. separate, which is a very strong possibility if Netanyahu agrees to a cease-fire in Gaza, opposition leader Yair Lapid’s party could temporarily join Netanyahu’s cabinet, not to prevent early elections, but to complete the prisoner exchange agreement. .

The said newspaper stated that it is possible that Smotrich and Ben Ghafir will be behind Netanyahu to hold re-elections and participate in them as leaders of parties that seek to develop settlements and prevent the formation of an independent Palestinian state. that their goal in this scenario is to get maximum votes of Likud representatives who are tired of Netanyahu and his party due to the defeat of October 7th. But the second path, which is far more complicated, is a vote of no confidence in Netanyahu’s cabinet. Regarding this option, Channel 12 political analyst Amnon Abramovich said that at least 5 members of the Likud party’s legislators should separate from the current government and decide on Netanyahu’s replacement within their party, then get the majority of the legislators’ approval to elect them. . The goal of this mechanism is to oust Netanyahu and replace him with someone else with the least downtime possible.

The New York Times emphasized that this option would be accompanied by problems, including differences among Likud politicians and success. Netanyahu in inciting his rivals against each other and possibly threatening them based on carefully guarded cases and threatening political death if they take action against him.
The third path: the opposition’s exit from the unity government

Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot can withdraw from the war cabinet and withdraw from the wartime unity government in order to delay the holding of early elections. But considering that neither of these two people have the majority, neither of them will be able to overthrow Netanyahu alone.
The New York Times emphasized that Gantz is the most popular political figure in Israel today, while he is more than any other. Another side openly criticizes Netanyahu during the war.

The fourth path: civil protests

But the fourth path, which some consider more likely, is the mobilization of the currents to hold The protests are against Netanyahu, who divided Israel for nine months before the October 7 incident. This newspaper adds that the war in a way brought about the unity of the Israelis, but this unity gradually weakened and became divided due to some issues related to the war such as prisoners and how the war ended and what the situation would be like after the war. /p>

Nathan Sacks, director of the Middle East Policy Center at the Brookings Institution, said in a conversation with the New York Times: The demonstrations that went beyond the political left and concerns about the fate of Israeli prisoners along with anger over the failures of the 7th of October created Kurds can put real pressure on the government coalition to hold early elections this year.

On the other hand, the New York Times added that American officials indicated that a direct confrontation with Netanyahu regarding the two-state solution. It may have the opposite results, which will strengthen his campaign within the Likud party and the whole of “Israel” as he is a necessary obstacle to the formation of a Palestinian state.

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