Moqtada Sadr’s return to the field of Iraqi politics; What is the next scenario?

According to the international group Tasnim news agency, Sadr’s current which was able to win the 2021 Iraqi parliamentary elections He won 73 seats, despite the formation of the majority faction, he failed to form a government, and in protest, he first brought political conflicts from behind the curtain to the streets, and then chose the strategy of collective resignation of the Sadr faction from representation in the Iraqi parliament. This issue caused Sadr to withdraw from politics, an action that we have seen many times in the history of Iraq’s political developments in the past years. They know the political scene. >Evaluations in the media environment of Iraq are that the national Shiite movement seeks to attract all factions opposed to the coordination framework. Observers believe that Moqtada Sadr will enter the parliamentary elections under the banner of the Shia national movement and in the next step, political groups outside the framework of coordination will join this movement. Based on this, it seems that Moqtada Sadr is once again thinking about forming a majority government.

After the official announcement and unveiling of the Shiite national movement in the media, experts and analysts of Iraqi politics criticized the naming of this movement. entered For example, the page of “Minister of Sadr” on social networks, in response to these criticisms, did not consider the naming limited to Shiites and put the slogan “Naam Naam Lalwatan” meaning “Yes, Yes for the Homeland” like Sadr’s movement, as the headline of the new movement.

After the exile of Moqtada Sadr from political mechanisms in recent months, currents from the heart of the coordination framework demand his return They became him. Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al-Sudani has tried many times to open the way for cooperation with Sadr’s relatives or directly with Moqtada Sadr, but so far none of the members of the movement and Sadr’s relatives have given a positive response. This conveys the message of non-acceptance of Sudanese and the framework of coordination by this current.

The decisive victory of Sadr’s current in the 2021 elections created an opportunity for Moqtada to dominate most of the ministries, including several essential ministries from It included the ministries of defense, interior, oil, finance and the position of national security advisor in addition to the appointment of the prime minister. These cases were accompanied by the agreement of the Al-Siyadeh coalition and the Democratic Party and the opposition of some Shia currents, including the Sadeghoon faction and the Government of Law. Recently, there have been rumors of forming a joint Sudanese list for the upcoming elections. Sadr’s return to the Iraqi political scene expresses the feeling of concern that the majority government will be formed neither from the framework of coordination nor from Sadr’s movement, but from a third movement under the name of Al-Sudani.

Participation in the 2025 elections

Before the 2021 elections in which Sadr had announced that he would not participate, from the first operational stage “Albanian al-Morsus” project unveiled. This project was intended to provide free or cheap public services to the lower class of society. This issue increased the popularity of Sadr among the middle and poor classes of the society, which ultimately led to the introduction of the list in the 2021 elections. It is interesting to note that something similar to this issue is happening again. After stepping down in 2022, Sadr strengthened the media circle with the aim of dominating public opinion and publicly supported al-Banyan al-Morsus; With the difference that Sadr could not be a critic of the current government because the construction of residential complexes and improving the atmosphere of Sadr town are also among the priorities of the Sudanese government. Of course, this issue does not change Moqtadi’s opinion for the Sudanese prime minister in the second round. , Iraqi elections, Iraqi Prime Minister, ” src=”https://newsmedia.tasnimnews.com/Tasnim/Uploaded/Image/1403/01/25/14030125195551817298056710.png”/>

” National Shia stream He will try to get the opinion of the opposition on the coordination framework first, and then go to other opposition parties or critics of the current government. It is assumed that Moqtada Sadr will agree with moderate Shia liberals and nationalists, then keep the Toad Party and the Kurdistan Democratic Party close to him.

In general, it is expected that Al-Efratin flow under the leadership of Sudani, which will be Separately or in a coalition, it will enter the election arena, along with the national Shiite movement of Moqtada Sadr, who will participate in the 2025 elections, to create a new competitive environment for Iraq.

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