The fate of Ukraine in the American election year and Kyiv’s options

According to the international group Tasnim news agency, many western countries that At first, they did not want to send heavy weapons to Ukraine, they changed their course and sent various equipment from heavy tanks to air defense systems to this country and they are still committed to continuing this process.

Additionally, Ukrainian pilots are training for potential fighter jets, a demand the Ukrainian government has made since the start of the war.

Washington has been Ukraine’s staunchest military partner since the start of the war. and has sent more weapons and equipment compared to other countries. The latest data from the US State Department shows that the country’s total military aid under President Joe Biden has exceeded $42 billion, $41.3 billion of which has been since the start of the war.

A similar fate awaits Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, once Zelensky assumes the role assigned to him by the West. What kind of termination awaits Zelensky when he is no longer needed by Western supporters? Annihilation after a coup, removal from power by holding elections or charges, arrests, imprisonment, etc.

The service of the West Ukraine is not one-sided

Looking realistically at the war between Russia and Ukraine, while Russia’s aggression continues, Ukraine often relies heavily on military support and The economy of the West is dependent. However, this relationship is not as one-sided as it may seem at first. Western support has indeed been crucial in helping Ukraine defend itself, while the democratic world also reaps a range of benefits from supporting Ukraine’s war effort.

The most important of these advantages is gaining benefits on the battlefield. According to the leaders of Western and European countries, Ukraine is constantly destroying Russia’s military potential on the battlefield. This course of war will significantly reduce the threat it poses to NATO’s eastern flank.

The defeat in Ukraine will drop Russia from the ranks of the world’s military superpowers, and Moscow will lose years. It faces reconstruction and minimizes threats from possible Russian actions in other countries. It is important that the West, by supporting Ukraine, can reduce Russia’s military potential without taking any direct actions or casualties. According to Western politicians, “the way to avoid confrontation Russia is in the future, helping Ukraine to push back the aggressor now. It is the lesson of history that should guide us and prompt action before it is too late.”

But if the game ends in Russia’s favor and this lesson is ignored And if Ukraine fails, Westerners worry that Russia will almost certainly overreach and pose a direct threat to NATO members such as the Baltic states, Finland or Poland.

At that point, It will no longer be possible to avoid significant NATO casualties. The battle in the Ukraine field has given NATO a new purpose, and with the membership of Sweden and Finland in NATO, it has further expanded the military alliance in the European Union. This has made the European Union more united than ever before.

In general, the willingness and ability of the West to continue supporting Ukraine is based on an agreement against what it Defends. The Western position on the future of the war in Ukraine is complicated by the election cycle in the United States and Europe.

Despite strong opposition in the United States and Europe, an aid package has been sent to Ukraine, and countries The European Union and NATO continue to pledge military equipment to Ukraine. But the bottom line is that until the election cycle is complete, policies are on hold, weakening Ukraine’s position and strengthening Moscow’s hand.

The future of the war in Ukraine is directly related to the upcoming elections in the United States and whether the Democrats or Republicans will come to power. Currently, the best option for Ukraine is to prepare the ground for possible negotiations with Putin; A decision that Ukraine will have to make, there is no doubt about that.

But the key is the type of settlement that might be acceptable. Zelensky’s maximum position of Russia’s complete withdrawal from all Ukrainian territory still stands. This is undermined by the reality of the military situation on the ground and among the populations of the territory now under Russian control. which has challenged the continuation or negotiation to resolve the war. A decision that will put the future of Ukraine either as an ally of the East or against the East.