Opinion 6 of the professor of international relations about Iran’s action against Israel

According to the international group Tasnim news agency, the revenge operation of April 14 of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the direct attack A drone-missile into the heart of the Zionist regime, which happened for the first time in the history of the confrontation between Tehran and Tel Aviv, has caused some world-renowned thinkers, theorists and researchers to react to this tremendous event and analyze it unprecedentedly. .

Mearsheimer: Iran’s retaliation operation shocked Israel

Mersheimer, a prominent theorist of the school of realism in international relations and a professor at the University of Chicago, emphasized that Israel was forced to deviate from its basic principle of deterrence (multiple attacks against any threat) in the face of Iran’s shocking retaliation on April 14, 2024. Mersheimer said: “The Israelis did not expect Iran to retaliate for the attack on the consulate in Damascus, but Iran did it in a way that the Israelis did not have the ability to retaliate on the same level.”

He added: ” After carrying out the attack, Iran committed itself to retaliating against any further offensive action by Israel and expressed this commitment publicly in the media. The result was that the Americans and many other Western allies of Israel stepped in to prevent another war and tried to convince Tel Aviv not to respond. If Iran does not retaliate or is forced to carry out an attack at a lower level than Iran, Tel Aviv’s action will have no effect, he said: “This is the first time that a country like Iran has been able to attack Israel from its territory. This is really shocking from Israel’s point of view.”

John Mersheimer further stated: “It is now clear that the Israelis made a mistake, their calculations were wrong, because they thought that Tehran would not act. But in front of the Iranians, they behaved very wisely in carrying out the attack. They put the Israelis in a position where they have no good option to retaliate.” Dennis Ross: Israel to the coalition between International needs

“Dennis Ross”, a famous American diplomat and author who is the head of the policy department of the US Department of State during the time of George Bush Jr., also in an article He writes for the “Project Syndicate” website: The launch of more than 300 drones, rockets and cruise and ballistic missiles towards Israel caused the confrontation between Iran and Israel to come out of the shadows. The defense coalition consisting of the United States, Britain and France to help the Israeli army in intercepting Iranian missiles and drones writes: The situation has changed. As the Israeli military acknowledges, when faced with threats on seven fronts, it is important that Israel has assistance, and Israelis should appreciate being part of a coalition in the face of Iran, its proxies, and their Russian backers. >
While emphasizing that the Zionist regime needs an international defense coalition to defend itself against Iran, Ross believes that Tel Aviv must end the war in Gaza as soon as possible to maintain the international support of the West, otherwise this support will be lost. It will fade away.

Yoshka Fischer: Iran’s retaliatory attack is a symbol of changing the world order
from On the other hand, Yoshka Fischer, the foreign minister and former vice chancellor of Germany, brought up the topic of Iran’s retaliatory operation against Israel and wrote: “The fact that Iran dared to risk a direct attack on Israel is indicative of the change in the world order. and the other powers will not be immune from basic and security challenges.”

Fischer states that after years of proxy confrontation between Tehran and Tel Aviv, the work of Tehran and Tel Aviv has gone beyond the level of shadow war and led to direct attacks. Attacking Israel also increases the possibility of “open war” with the United States, which is why we can conclude that the Iranian government is either very confident in itself, or wants to make a serious show of power.

Fischer continued. It emphasizes that although Iran indirectly informed the United States of its counterattack, this attack can change the nature of the Israeli-Palestinian war and turn it from a fight over land into a regional and even global battle. br/> Fisher emphasizes that despite the severe sanctions imposed by the US and Israel’s Western allies and the establishment of coalitions against Iran, “in terms of geopolitics, the situation is completely different. Iran is one of the great winners of the transition period from the liberal world order led by the United States.”

Robin Wright: Iran attacks Israel in all capacities He did not use it himself
Also, “Robin Wright”, a famous American researcher on Middle East issues who has a history of cooperation with the CIA, pointing out that the scope and dimensions of the April 14 attack by Iran in response to the attack “Washington expected the range to be much smaller, perhaps with only 12 ballistic missiles, for example,” Israel told the consulate in Damascus, shocking the US. When the United States Central Command raised the estimate to more than a hundred, the American military intelligence officer who was writing the estimate and correcting the estimated number was shaking with fear!

Wright Pointing out that Iran’s retaliatory attack has made Tehran more careless towards America and Israel, he added: “Iran has gradually built the largest missile arsenal in the region. It used only a fraction of its assets in the attack on Israel – estimated to be thousands of ballistic and cruise missiles and hundreds of drones. Since 1982, it has also established its widest network of allies in the four countries of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen. Together, they have carried out hundreds of attacks on Israel and US forces stationed in Iraq and Syria, as well as international shipping in the Red Sea throughout the region. Iran’s nuclear advances since 2019 have also limited the time it can build a bomb if it makes the political decision to advance the world’s deadliest weapon. However, its rhetorical audacity about the defeat of Israel and the withdrawal of American forces from the Middle East is unrealistic and unattainable. In the end, it looks increasingly like a dangerously reckless and isolated regime.” made Israel more complicated – Israel’s threats against Iran were fake
“Itmar Rabinovitch”, the former ambassador of the Zionist regime to the United States, who is now a professor of Middle East studies at Tel Aviv University and also with the Brookings Institute He wrote about Iran’s response: “Israel’s security community and media disagreed on the issue of response to this widespread and unprecedented attack. The majority of the cabinet members wanted to retaliate at a similar level. Their main argument was the need to maintain (or restore) Israeli deterrence. Some of them had threatened such a response before the expected attack and did not want these threats to be fake and empty. This difference of opinion also appeared between the US and the Israeli cabinet.”

Rabinovitch added: “This attack imposes a more difficult and complicated agenda on Israel; Because now, while he is busy completing the war in Gaza and gaining tangible achievements in it, solving the crisis of the Israelis trapped by Hamas and preparing for an attrition war along the border with Lebanon, he must leave more capacity for a direct challenge with Iran.

Dawood Kottab: Iran’s attack increased the chances of peace in Gaza
“Dawood Kottab”, journalist Referring to the need to issue a binding resolution by the United Nations Security Council to end the war in Gaza, the famous Palestinian and former professor at Princeton University wrote: Iran’s action can paradoxically guarantee the establishment of peace in Gaza.

He continues to write: “Now the other parties involved have reached the end of confrontation below the level of war, and going beyond this limit can cause another war to arise.” “In order to prevent this process and at this critical point, the Security Council must pass a binding resolution to end the war in Gaza.” The book believes that such an action will slow down the developments and stop the current process.

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