Why the martyrdom of “Nasrullah” does not weaken Hezbollah?

Mehr News, International Group: Martyr Seyed Hassan Nasrallah, Secretary General of Hezbollah in Lebanon during his three decades of leadership, due to his charismatic and strategic leadership, religious and ideological personality and close connection with Religious institutions in different countries, strengthening the axis of resistance and breaking the taboo of invincibility of the Israeli regime, his ability to manage crises and close contact with the Lebanese society and people, he became a key and effective figure in Lebanon and the resistance front.

On the one hand, due to his leadership skills, popular support, military successes, and coordination with regional and international allies, Sayyid Tasah made Hezbollah a powerful force in the domestic scene of Lebanon and transform the region and, on the other hand, present himself as one of the key figures of the resistance front in the world.

But the Zionist regime in general and Netanyahu in particular, who always use terror as a tool for psychological pressure and elimination of their opponents, on the one hand because The failure to realize the achievement in the past year after September 7th and on the other hand, the growing power of Hezbollah as a direct military threat to Tel Aviv and the central role of Nasrallah as a charismatic leader, the assassination of Seyed Resistance with the aim of making gains for Netanyahu, weakening and Instability in the leadership structure of Hezbollah and reducing the influence and power of resistance in the region were put on the agenda.

According to the author, for 4 reasons, including the historical experiences of Hezbollah, the nature and conditions of organizations and ideology-oriented currents, the organizational structure, and also the replacement culture in Hezbollah, after From Martyr Nasrallah, Hezbollah and the resistance will continue its growing trend with more cohesion and support.

Historical experiences have shown that Hezbollah is not an independent organization, and whenever the top leaders of this organization are assassinated and martyred, perhaps within a short period of time this organization is involved in issues. It may be considered that the nature of the transition period in any organization, but in the long term it has strengthened and strengthened this trend, and this claim has also been proven in the change of the two previous general secretaries of this organization.

Almost all experts confirm that the currents and groups that are based on ideology and paid a lot of money for that ideology, the assassination and martyrdom of their commanders caused They become stronger and increase their popular support, and this fact is clear in the history of Hezbollah.

On the other hand, Hezbollah is a military and political group with a strong organizational structure that does not depend on a specific person. This organization has different leaders and stable financial and military resources that have been able to maintain and even strengthen the resistance over the decades. The testimony of the previous leaders of Hezbollah, such as Seyed Abbas Mousavi and Imad Mughniyeh, has shown that this organization has the ability to continue its activities and even strengthen itself after such actions.

And in explaining the fourth reason, it should be said that Hezbollah usually plans to replace its leaders and other people are in line to replace the leader. With the martyrdom of Nasrallah, you can be sure that his successor will probably take the leadership quickly, relying on the widespread popular support and the strong organizational structure of Hezbollah.

However, against these reasons, the enemies of Hezbollah and the resistance, such as the Americans and Israelis, believe that the current situation is different and that the martyrdom of Seyed Hassan Nasrallah will weaken and reduce the influence of the party. It will bring resistance.

At this stage, the author goes to the literature and ideas of the Americans and Westerners to answer the Americans and Zionists, and from the perspective of their own theoretical foundations, the conditions of the resistance and Hezbollah later It examines and explains the resistance of Seyed’s testimony.

In political science, international relations and sociology, we have various theories and theoretical bases that refer to military political organizations, resistance movements, state terrorism and social movements. In the following, while introducing some of these theories and theoretical foundations, we will examine the future of resistance based on their principles.

Charismatic Leadership and Succession theory)

At first, let’s look at the issue from the perspective of charisma theory and replacement of leadership. In his theories about legitimacy and charisma, Max Weber has discussed the importance of charismatic leaders in social and political movements. Weber emphasizes that organizations built on strong ideology and institutional structures can survive the transition of leadership after the death or assassination of a charismatic leader. In the case of Hezbollah, although Seyed Hassan Nasrallah plays an important role as a charismatic leader, Hezbollah has the ability to replace the leadership without losing its organizational coherence and ideological goals due to its orderly and ideological structure.

Blowback Theory >)

This theory, which is proposed in foreign policy and international relations, states that violent and repressive actions against opposition groups, instead of controlling and weakening them, may lead to Unwanted consequences and increase their resistance. In fact, excessive violence or assassination of the leaders of these groups leads to an increase in popular support and legitimacy among their supporters. Lebanon’s Hezbollah has faced the assassination of its leaders in the past, and each time it was not only weakened, but also managed to attract wider support.

Social Movement Theory)

The theory of social movements also clearly proves our claim. According to this theory, social movements that have a strong popular and ideological base can use the assassination or suppression of their leaders to strengthen themselves. In this framework, the testimony of leaders can become a symbol for resistance and create new motivations to mobilize new forces and maintain stability. Regarding Hezbollah, the social and cultural structure of Lebanese Shiites, which is based on the concept of “martyrdom”, can introduce Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s martyrdom as a strong point and motivation to continue and strengthen the movement.

Conflict Theory )

The theory of conflict in sociology, whose foundations are formed from the theories of Karl Marx, believes that conflict and tensions between social groups lead to social changes and increase the power of the groups under It is pressed. This theory states that the assassination of the leaders of the resistance groups can not only stop the movements, but also increase the intensity of the conflicts and can lead to their strengthening. In this context, the Zionist regime’s pressure on Hezbollah, even in the case of assassinating charismatic leaders, will most likely lead to stronger reactions and greater cohesion among the members and supporters of this group.

Social Capital Theory)

Hezbollah Lebanon has a wide network of social capital, which includes ideological, social and economic links with different parts of Lebanese society and the region. Social capital theory emphasizes that organizations and groups that have strong social networks can continue to operate and gain even more power even if they lose their original leadership. In this regard, Hezbollah can potentially remain strong after Nasrallah’s martyrdom due to its deep ties with the Lebanese Shia community and regional support from Iran.

Resistance Theory (Resistance Theory)

Resistance theory is based on the fact that external pressures and violent actions against resistance groups usually lead to increasing internal cohesion and strengthening their collective identity. In this context, the assassination of resistance leaders often strengthens resistance movements instead of weakening them, because the members and supporters of such groups find more empathy and solidarity with the resistance’s goals and mobilize against the enemy [the Zionist regime]. This issue is much more pronounced in the case of groups like Hezbollah, which have ideological and popular roots.

Summary

Finally, according to the 4 mentioned reasons and 6 theories that were examined in the political, international and social fields, it can be said that the martyrdom of Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah There is a strong possibility that it will not weaken Hezbollah and the resistance front, but it will increase internal unity, cohesion and solidarity and bring more external support to this organization.

In addition to the above, the field conditions in the region and the words of Martyr Nasrallah’s deputy also prove the above opinion and analysis, as stated in various news and reports. , Hezbollah and the Resistance Front strengthened and increased their operations against the Zionist regime, and the officials of many countries, groups, currents and various political and international personalities also officially announced their support and companionship with Hezbollah; Moreover, Sheikh Naeem Qasim also announced and confirmed in his speech that Hezbollah will continue the school and path of Martyr Nasrallah with as much strength as possible, and the joining of the leader of resistance to his martyred companions will not create a gap in the determination, approach and actions of the proud resistance front. did.

Saeed Seifi; Senior expert in international issues