Iraq, Iran and regional developments

According to Tasnim news agency, Mustafa al-Rabiei; An Iraqi analyst wrote: In order to understand the truth and dimensions of Iraq’s recent position regarding the bombing that the city of Erbil witnessed, it is necessary to examine the background of the political disputes governing the Iraqi political circles and elites. On October 7, Iraqi Shiite resistance groups intensified their operations by targeting the location of American forces in Iraq and the region.

From that date until last November, American forces were targeted in 70 military operations.

On November 22, the United States carried out offensive attacks on the positions of Al-Hashd al-Shaabi forces in the Abu Ghraib area, 30 kilometers west of Baghdad, and in Jaraf al-Nasr, which resulted in the martyrdom of 10 people.

In the meantime, the Iraqi government issued a statement strongly condemning the US attacks and considered it a clear violation of Iraqi sovereignty and announced: “We launched an attack that targeted the Jaraf al-Nasr area, and without the knowledge of the organization Iraqi government actions were carried out, we condemn and consider it a clear violation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Iraq. Then on December 3, American forces returned to attack parts of al-Hashd al-Shaabi in Kirkuk, which led to 5 people were martyred.

On January 4, an American drone targeted Abu Taqawi al-Saeidi, the deputy commander of Al-Hashd al-Shaabi operations, in the belt of Baghdad, in the center of the Iraqi capital.

This bombing took place in the center of Baghdad, and inside a headquarters belonging to Al-Hashd al-Shaabi forces, which is considered one of the Iraqi military institutions. The benefit of staying American forces in Iraq should be resumed. forces that commit crimes against Iraqis and the territorial integrity of Iraq.

Since the storm of Al-Aqsa, the Iraqi government led by Mr. Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani in supporting the Palestinian people, condemning Israel’s aggression and condemning the West’s support for this The unjust war was a pioneer.

Sudani’s speech at the Cairo summit last October 21 in front of Arab and foreign presidents and leaders is considered the most daring and courageous position in support of the Palestinian people.

This speech created an atmosphere of widespread sympathy among the people and government of Iraq regarding the Palestinian issue.

The alignment of America with the existence of Israel revived the debate in Iraq about the necessity of ending the American presence.

This discussion became very intense after the repeated US attacks on the positions belonging to the Hashd al-Shaabi forces and the representative of the Iraqi government. It was a precedent.

The Sudanese government considered this attack “an attack similar to terrorist acts” and “a clear attack and a clear violation of the sovereignty and security of Iraq”.

For the first time, the government Iraq “holds the forces of the international coalition responsible for this attack.”

The government not only held the international coalition led by the United States of America responsible, but also announced that this coalition “violated all understandings between the Iraqi armed forces and the It weakens the international coalition”.

The Iraqi government pointed out that these attacks are an escalation of tension and a dangerous aggression against Iraq and are far from the spirit and text of the order and essence for which the international coalition in Iraq was created.
As a result of these positions regarding the weakening of the relations between Iraq and the international coalition, this clear language is heard for the first time from Baghdad. Jointly with his Spanish counterpart, who traveled to Baghdad on December 28, he confirmed that “Iraq is serious about ending the presence of the international coalition.” which was held on this occasion, he reiterated his position regarding foreign presence in Iraq.

Al-Sudani “considered the assassination of Iraqi guest General Qassem Soleimani and Hajj Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis as an open attack on the territory and sovereignty of Iraq”. /p>

In the continuation of his speech, which was held in the presence of heads of officials and representatives of the parliament and the government and was broadcast live, he continued: The justifications for the existence of the international coalition led by the United States have ended. He emphasized that “ending the international coalition is an irreversible decision.”

During the last three months, “ending the international coalition led by the United States” was the most frequent position put forward by Mohammad Shia al-Sudani in the meetings bilaterally with Western guests or in public meetings.
In this context, Iraq’s position regarding the bombing of the city of Erbil, which is described as tense, should be interpreted.

Hours after Sudani’s trip to participate in The Davos International Forum, Erbil was targeted by ballistic missiles.
Some circles close to the Iraqi Prime Minister point out that the main goal of the Iraqi government’s position regarding the bombing of Erbil is not aimed at Iran, but rather at Iraq’s positions on raising an important issue. And something as sensitive as ending the presence of the international coalition in Iraq was related from the podium of the Davos summit.

Al-Sudani, in a meeting with Western officials in Davos, emphasized the integrated readiness of the Iraqi armed forces to face any terrorist challenge facing Iraq. did In these meetings, Al-Sudani emphasized that the time has come for Iraq to regain its sovereignty away from the military presence of foreigners.

Only one day after Iraq’s condemnation of the bombing of Erbil, Al-Sudani in a conversation Directly with the participants of the Davos Forum, he praised the assistance provided by the Islamic Republic of Iraq in the defeat of ISIS, and described Iran as a “neighbor and friend”. It was aimed at strengthening the Sudanese demand to end foreign military presence in Iraq. Meanwhile, the Americans and Europeans accused the Iraqi government of following Iran, and this is what happened at the Davos summit. It did not happen.

It should be noted that the withdrawal of foreign forces led by the United States of America from Iraq is in favor of achieving the goal of revenge for the blood of the commanders of the victory, Haj Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, with the withdrawal of American forces from West Asia.

America’s withdrawal from Iraq will necessarily lead to withdrawal from Syria. This is a strategic victory for the countries of the axis of resistance in Iran and Iraq.

But what should be highlighted about the bombing of Erbil are other positions that are harmful to the strategic relations that Mohammad al-Sudani wants to consolidate and strengthen. It is considered destructive.

The first of these positions is the position that National Security Adviser Qasim al-Aarji expressed when he visited the bombing site, and he denied that the bombed headquarters belonged to Mossad.

Although his visit did not last more than an hour, while he is obliged to present the results of the investigation within 48 hours! They interpreted this position as showing his association with the Americans and Masoud Barzani, and his effort to gain their satisfaction and support in the event of his candidacy for the post of prime minister. . However, the coordination framework agreed with the second choice for many reasons.

Therefore, the observers believe that Al-Araji’s position was motivated by competing and destroying Sudani and trying to discredit him in front of Iran. Al-Aarji also tried to whiten his position and face in front of the Americans and Masoud Barzani.

The second position that should be taken into consideration and separated from the Sudanese account is the position of Foreign Minister Fawad Hossein.

Fawad Hossein adopted harsh positions that surprised everyone inside and outside.

One of his requests was to the Arab League to condemn the bombing of Erbil, while this League within three months In the past, he chose to remain silent, he chose to remain silent in front of the heinous crimes of the Zionists.

The positions of Fawad Hossein faced widespread and severe criticism inside Iraq. Many writers and journalists accused him of turning from the Iraqi foreign minister to Massoud Barzani.

It should be mentioned that Fawad Hossein was Barzani’s secretary when Masoud Barzani was the head of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. /p>

Many Iraqi writers also regretted the statement of the Foreign Minister when the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Kurdistan enthusiastically participated in the referendum on the separation of the Kurdistan Region from Iraq, which was supervised by Masoud Barzani in 2017. Kurdistan was surprised about “Iraq’s sovereignty”.

Media and political activists noted Fawad Hussein’s statement during the referendum that “Iraq’s borders are not sacred”.

Therefore , the positions of al-Araji and Fouad Hossein should be interpreted first in the context of serving the Americans, and secondly in the context of thwarting the mission of Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al-Sudani to withdraw foreign forces from Iraq.
These two Iraqi officials share this issue. They believe that their political future depends on the Americans staying in Iraq.

Al-Araji wishes to be the next prime minister candidate and in this way he appeases the Americans and Barzanis.
Fawad Hossein has reverted to a separatist Kurdish politician who believes that the survival of the Americans protects the Kurdistan Region as a state within the country, which allows the presence of global intelligence services and armed opposition groups from neighboring countries on its territory.

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