Quadruple impasses against the Zionist regime on the horizon of the Lebanon war

According to Webangah News quoted by Mehr News Agency, Al-Zitoune Study Center in a report investigated the brutal rocket attacks of the Zionist regime on Lebanon and the southern suburbs of Beirut and wrote that the Israeli cabinet, after the blows it received from Lebanon’s Hezbollah, tried It is increasing the levers of pressure on this party and the government of Lebanon and stopping the role of supporting the Lebanese Islamic Resistance from the Al-Aqsa storm operation and weakening the Lebanese Hezbollah.

This report went on to examine the possible scenarios of the Zionist regime’s war in Lebanon and wrote that four scenarios are possible in this regard:

First; Drowning in the swamp of Lebanon

The Zionist regime is trying to destroy many of Lebanon’s infrastructures in this war. The leaders of this regime think that they can achieve victory over Hezbollah, but Lebanon’s Hezbollah shows an active performance in this war based on its belief nature and the combat preparations of tens of thousands of its forces and the equipment and broad base of people it has. . This means that the war in Lebanon will be long like the war in Gaza and will continue until Netanyahu accepts his defeat in the war and retreats or his opponents in the political arena of the Zionist regime force him to step down. .

second; continuation of calculated conflicts

The withdrawal of the Zionist regime from the ground attack and the reduction of the scope of the war and the use of aerial and drone attacks by Tel Aviv are among the coordinates of this scenario. On the other side, Hezbollah continues its attacks on various targets in the north of the occupied territories and even deep in Israel, and this means an erosion process for both sides, and both will wait to see which way the process of developments in Gaza will go. In this situation, Israel cannot achieve its stated goals of the war, on the contrary, the number of Zionist refugees will multiply as a result of expanding the depth of Hezbollah’s attacks.

Third; All-out ground attack on Lebanon

This attack may be done to try to apply new equations and realize the goals of the Zionist regime in the return of refugees. This scenario has many complications and its implementation seems unlikely. The current information shows that the Lebanese Hezbollah has performed very powerfully in suppressing the enemy’s attempts to cross the border areas. Lebanon’s Hezbollah has tens of times more capabilities than in the past and can force the Zionist regime to flee Lebanon in case of intensification of ground operations.

Fourth; Regional war

This scenario is based on the hypothesis that the Zionist enemy thinks that its security and future will not be secured except by striking Iran and its allies in the region. Based on this scenario, Tel Aviv will try to bring America into this war on its side. Of course, the possibility of realizing this scenario seems unlikely in the current situation, and if Israel wants to start this process, it will be playing with fire.

Conclusion

In the current situation, it is more possible to realize the first two scenarios. Of course, the Zionist regime may want to take a combination of two scenarios so that it can use this process in the future to have the upper hand in negotiations.

In general, it should be said that the Israeli army is tired and worn out and has not been able to achieve its goals in Gaza in the past year, so it seems that in order to provide facilities human and logistics for a ground attack on Lebanon, which requires 80,000 to 120,000 military forces, does not have the necessary strength. Tel Aviv is currently too weak to occupy areas of southern Lebanon.

Al-Zitouneh adds in the end: On the other side, Hezbollah is a religious institution that has a popular base and regular organization and extensive military equipment. Hezbollah has also made the cessation of its rocket attacks conditional on the cessation of hostilities in Gaza, showing that it can follow this trend in the long term and wear down the enemy. In addition to showing that it can expand the range of attacks on Zionist targets in order to increase the losses of Israelis and the number of Israeli refugees.